Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Degerfors IF vs. Djurgardens IF end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x23c2d175002519783ebdba8c552e2868401344372c8617103139dda53fce40ef
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,653
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,986
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,653 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 24c | 2,935$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702.21 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 72c | 2,050$1,476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.92 | 518 | 42.1%218 W · 300 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ed…4418backed Yes | 30c | 2,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb751…8d99backed No | 75c | 1,720$1,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 76c | 1,627$1,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.56 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 76c | 1,085$822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.91 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 18c | 1,037$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.65 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc6…4b55backed No | 77c | 441.56$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31a1…1227backed Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 24c | 387.86$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.69 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 70c | 376.53$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.96 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf958…31b3backed Yes | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8543…ff1bbacked Yes | 24c | 290$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.44 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2759…2b38backed Yes | 23c | 282.28$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.92 | 72 | 31.9%23 W · 49 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Yes | 18c | 215.94$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.16 | 79 | 38%30 W · 49 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Yes | 23c | 140$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.2 | 118 | 41.5%49 W · 69 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed No | 76c | 101.99$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.48 | 71 | 60.6%43 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…e63cbacked No | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 102 | 47.1%48 W · 54 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce5…17f9backed Yes | 24c | 95.83$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 27c | 92.81$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 559 | 54.9%307 W · 252 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 14c | 92.43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 212 | 47.2%100 W · 112 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 76c | 87.87$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.09 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Yes | 17c | 85.34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.51 | 187 | 40.1%75 W · 112 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 17c | 84.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 72c | 69.6$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 23c | 68.77$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.82 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…d793backed Yes | 24c | 60$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 134 | 48.5%65 W · 69 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4732…f40dbacked Yes | 22c | 49.7$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Yes | 24c | 45.03$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.03 | 351 | 63.5%223 W · 128 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27b4…f911backed Yes | 24c | 42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dae…7199backed Yes | 25c | 41.49$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 77c | 40.09$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.27 | 338 | 53.3%180 W · 158 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2df7…7f76backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 23cpaid | +150%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 78c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 408 | 50.7%207 W · 201 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 76c | 24.7$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.93 | 63 | 61.9%39 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a0e…cdedbacked No | 75c | 19.26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.76 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +52%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 76c | 18.41$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.42 | 370 | 49.5%183 W · 187 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed No | 76c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 68 | 66.2%45 W · 23 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd75a…d264backed No | 72c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -3.3wins | -0.19per pick | 55cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee16…16a2backed No | 77c | 12.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.99 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Degerfors IF vs. Djurgardens IF end in a draw?this page
- Will Degerfors IF win on 2026-07-25?No won
- Will Djurgardens IF win on 2026-07-25?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.