CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Rune Eaters - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x23ddefd05f5b6139ab3322a2ccf57a4474f3276f6d762240cbe17ef0a1a3e4f0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- SPARTAof SPARTA, Rune Eaters
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,518
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,837
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,518 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Rune Eaters | 24c | 1,772$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.89 | 1,033 | 53.2%550 W · 483 L | +64.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Rune Eaters | 31c | 1,000$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Rune Eaters | 21c | 891.03$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.3 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2c…3c32backed SPARTA | 79c | 632.91$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.91 | 190 | 61.6%117 W · 73 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x584f…54b9backed SPARTA | 56c | 446$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.24 | 122 | 59%72 W · 50 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x949e…20afbacked Rune Eaters | 33c | 303$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 432 | 37.7%163 W · 269 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Rune Eaters | 31c | 241.09$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.36 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0063…2dd2backed Rune Eaters | 24c | 198.54$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.07 | 402 | 64.7%260 W · 142 L | +49.2wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Rune Eaters | 10c | 187.02$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.38 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc22e…eab8backed Rune Eaters | 18c | 174.47$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.4 | 69 | 37.7%26 W · 43 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc8…e209backed Rune Eaters | 18c | 166.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Rune Eaters | 37c | 130.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.47 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe35b…b542backed Rune Eaters | 18c | 123.71$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.64 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Rune Eaters | 31c | 112.24$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.07 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x212b…0ba5backed Rune Eaters | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 90 | 44.4%40 W · 50 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Rune Eaters | 16c | 102.96$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.57 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f38…a0edbacked SPARTA | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Rune Eaters | 19c | 94$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.47 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cdf…58e1backed Rune Eaters | 18c | 83.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Rune Eaters | 16c | 80$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked SPARTA | 72c | 77.47$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.69 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…fd2abacked Rune Eaters | 22c | 70$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 393 | 38.2%150 W · 243 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked Rune Eaters | 23c | 67.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.32 | 752 | 45.3%341 W · 411 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9248…6955backed Rune Eaters | 26c | 54.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.51 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked SPARTA | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.9 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Rune Eaters | 36c | 40.9$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 526 | 45.1%237 W · 289 L | -20.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked SPARTA | 71c | 38.65$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Rune Eaters | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Rune Eaters | 37c | 27.03$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 700 | 42.3%296 W · 404 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked SPARTA | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.92 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked SPARTA | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 1,068 | 55%587 W · 481 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Rune Eaters - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #6 Group StageRune Eaters won
- Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Rune Eaters - Map 2 WinnerRune Eaters won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: SPARTA (-1.5) vs Rune Eaters (+1.5)Rune Eaters won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.