Tennis · resolved market
Francavilla: Frederico Ferreira Silva vs Chun-Hsin Tseng
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x23e0d54f6bb06a845c413258347108c861159af41433de7470e21996714eb8b7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chun-Hsin Tsengof Frederico Ferreira Silva, Chun-Hsin Tseng
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $75,141
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $98,026
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,141 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Frederico Ferreira Silva | 13c | 11,127$1,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,455.12 | 9,038 | 36.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L | -196.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Frederico Ferreira Silva | 17c | 10,403$1,811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,811.02 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Frederico Ferreira Silva | 4c | 9,925$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.53 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Frederico Ferreira Silva | 6c | 4,182$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.79 | 4,253 | 45%1,912 W · 2,341 L | +20.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Frederico Ferreira Silva | 18c | 2,160$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.77 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfce2…9787backed Frederico Ferreira Silva | 8c | 1,200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.17 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Frederico Ferreira Silva | 10c | 1,068$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.64 | 373 | 30.3%113 W · 260 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Frederico Ferreira Silva | 5c | 532.97$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.2 | 5,422 | 56.3%3,054 W · 2,368 L | +231.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Frederico Ferreira Silva | 10c | 474.41$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.16 | 2,523 | 39.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9266…8f3cbacked Chun-Hsin Tseng | 74c | 315.01$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.01 | 255 | 56.1%143 W · 112 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfae5…f683backed Chun-Hsin Tseng | 57c | 192.57$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.57 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Chun-Hsin Tseng | 56c | 129.7$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.77 | 2,229 | 45%1,002 W · 1,227 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Frederico Ferreira Silva | 22c | 128.77$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.52 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x818c…ed5fbacked Chun-Hsin Tseng | 79c | 101.91$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.91 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd7…d5a3backed Chun-Hsin Tseng | 55c | 81.76$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.94 | 76 | 60.5%46 W · 30 L | +7.2wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1de1…8f45backed Chun-Hsin Tseng | 73c | 79.75$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.58 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84c7…bea7backed Frederico Ferreira Silva | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 664 | 52.3%347 W · 317 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Frederico Ferreira Silva | 31c | 59.21$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.53 | 6,840 | 48.8%3,341 W · 3,499 L | +58.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7f…a844backed Frederico Ferreira Silva | 23c | 58.23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.54 | 743 | 46.3%344 W · 399 L | -12.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2e…5034backed Frederico Ferreira Silva | 43c | 55.58$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.9 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbee0…7dffbacked Frederico Ferreira Silva | 23c | 53.06$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 144 | 15.3%22 W · 122 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Frederico Ferreira Silva | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 570 | 52.6%300 W · 270 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c67…a479backed Chun-Hsin Tseng | 56c | 37.8$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.63 | 257 | 51.8%133 W · 124 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17f7…a181backed Frederico Ferreira Silva | 44c | 36.82$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Frederico Ferreira Silva | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 749 | 55.1%413 W · 336 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Chun-Hsin Tseng | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87d1…3744backed Chun-Hsin Tseng | 78c | 25.8$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 1,104 | 66.9%739 W · 365 L | +36.9wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Chun-Hsin Tseng | 79c | 21.78$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.57 | 1,832 | 53%971 W · 861 L | -45.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Chun-Hsin Tseng | 64c | 21.66$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.71 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Chun-Hsin Tseng | 71c | 14.39$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.17 | 9,374 | 44.3%4,154 W · 5,220 L | -244.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.