Lol · resolved market
LoL: Galions vs TLN Pirates (BO1) - LFL Invitational Souper Group
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x24314d8e3f90097e88919de5726e44a1aaa9dfa26d8e99958e431f58950437a7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Galionsof Galions, TLN Pirates
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,985
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,957
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,985 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc75a…1ab2backed TLN Pirates | 0c | 5,500$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 788 | 9.8%77 W · 711 L | +22.8wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22c6…4574backed Galions | 69c | 500$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.05 | 217 | 56.7%123 W · 94 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4429…efc2backed TLN Pirates | 14c | 360.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…2fe4backed TLN Pirates | 33c | 299.96$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.99 | 566 | 50%283 W · 283 L | -14.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe14c…c2bbbacked Galions | 67c | 299.26$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.26 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f2…e9dabacked Galions | 70c | 286.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.14 | 104 | 56.7%59 W · 45 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ea…d07fbacked Galions | 70c | 285.13$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.13 | 959 | 51.3%492 W · 467 L | +42.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51ad…5e56backed TLN Pirates | 20c | 203.14$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 199 | 46.7%93 W · 106 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde5a…4db5backed Galions | 69c | 202.74$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.97 | 249 | 39%97 W · 152 L | -10.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked TLN Pirates | 29c | 180.03$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.21 | 390 | 44.9%175 W · 215 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed TLN Pirates | 30c | 152.54$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.76 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0805…1d14backed Galions | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 372 | 52.2%194 W · 178 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked TLN Pirates | 32c | 119.96$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.39 | 474 | 44.1%209 W · 265 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9f…36dfbacked Galions | 71c | 115.49$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.99 | 586 | 49.8%292 W · 294 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa521…4599backed TLN Pirates | 33c | 114$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.62 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed TLN Pirates | 29c | 109.4$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.72 | 335 | 52.8%177 W · 158 L | +15.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b95…b23ebacked Galions | 71c | 103.44$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 1,049 | 44.6%468 W · 581 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb167…e5f3backed Galions | 74c | 102.04$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 77 | 36.4%28 W · 49 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b50…ea47backed TLN Pirates | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,299 | 26.6%345 W · 954 L | +65.4wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…f87ebacked Galions | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed TLN Pirates | 30c | 98.34$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.91 | 1,731 | 44.2%765 W · 966 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c30…d531backed Galions | 67c | 89.55$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.55 | 139 | 51.8%72 W · 67 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked TLN Pirates | 29c | 60$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 1,241 | 34.7%431 W · 810 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe343…5c31backed TLN Pirates | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 315 | 22.9%72 W · 243 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d18…3d29backed TLN Pirates | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 248 | 45.2%112 W · 136 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2c…ac5ebacked TLN Pirates | 31c | 51$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.81 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked TLN Pirates | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 276 | 32.6%90 W · 186 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed TLN Pirates | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 360 | 48.9%176 W · 184 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9625…d19dbacked TLN Pirates | 30c | 35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe26b…a9ecbacked TLN Pirates | 33c | 33.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 520 | 49.2%256 W · 264 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x859a…1ccebacked Galions | 67c | 29$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.57 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08f7…7933backed Galions | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 71cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d3b…bd9fbacked Galions | 67c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8358…956bbacked Galions | 69c | 23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.13 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f96…92e0backed Galions | 67c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.26 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7483…96a6backed Galions | 67c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.26 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 65cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d58…8accbacked Galions | 69c | 18.74$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.81 | 288 | 55.9%161 W · 127 L | -20.1wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x41ae…bdfcbacked Galions | 69c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.58 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbba…e95bbacked Galions | 67c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.28 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Galions | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.95 | 106 | 38.7%41 W · 65 L | -10.3wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.