CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x24ed3d683cc08007d03f3c7fcec86c1a48c08a54936915cc91c645ef985da380
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,486
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,059
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,486 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Under | 62c | 4,932$3,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,891.03 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Over | 38c | 3,000$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140 | 170 | 45.9%78 W · 92 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f2…aeb7backed Over | 39c | 1,272$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.49 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Over | 39c | 999.99$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.99 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 61c | 909.43$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.54 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked Over | 38c | 568.42$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 97 | 53.6%52 W · 45 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Under | 62c | 535.71$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.57 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb654…7be3backed Over | 39c | 378$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.6 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed Over | 39c | 168.26$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.62 | 482 | 40%193 W · 289 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…0f36backed Under | 60c | 125$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 740 | 54.6%404 W · 336 L | +15.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Over | 37c | 123.2$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.78 | 262 | 46.9%123 W · 139 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Over | 38c | 98.2$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.32 | 513 | 48.3%248 W · 265 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…3518backed Under | 63c | 51.33$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.08 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3b…d591backed Over | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 182 | 33%60 W · 122 L | -22.1wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdb3d…58f5backed Under | 62c | 43.62$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.72 | 378 | 55.3%209 W · 169 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Under | 80c | 36.99$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.55 | 1,365 | 66.3%905 W · 460 L | +76.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Over | 35c | 36.03$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 285 | 49.5%141 W · 144 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Under | 64c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb52b…9646backed Under | 62c | 24.04$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.09 | 220 | 59.1%130 W · 90 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed Under | 65c | 21.53$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.54 | 210 | 52.4%110 W · 100 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 61c | 21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.19 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: ex-KRÜ Esports vs Guara Esports (BO3) - CCT South America Series 2 Group Stageex-KRÜ Esports won
- Counter-Strike: ex-KRÜ Esports vs Guara Esports - Map 1 Winnerex-KRÜ Esports won
- Counter-Strike: ex-KRÜ Esports vs Guara Esports - Map 2 Winnerex-KRÜ Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.