CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: ex-KRÜ Esports vs Guara Esports (BO3) - CCT South America Series 2 Group Stage

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfc82f9481891086b5a769875588379dca8dd0995fbbfca4d49ca8bc00e8e09fd

Rebuilt 1 hour ago.

Winning outcome: ex-KRÜ Esportsof ex-KRÜ Esports, Guara Esports
Resolved: May 20, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: CS2every record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $21,107
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $21,005

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,107 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in CS2
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x29b5…cc6cbacked ex-KRÜ Esports	73c	6,769$4,947 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,822.03	5,050	55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L	+117.2wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed ex-KRÜ Esports	73c	5,254$3,813 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,441.12	2,624	51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L	+18.1wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x653e…bbc0backed Guara Esports	26c	3,950$1,038 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,037.78	387	39.5%153 W · 234 L	-15.3wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa2c9…2c23backed ex-KRÜ Esports	80c	2,000$1,599 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$400.6	196	60.7%119 W · 77 L	-13.9wins	-0.07per pick	68cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xab96…989fbacked Guara Esports	26c	1,340$355 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$355.06	226	45.1%102 W · 124 L	-2.2wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x369f…abb5backed Guara Esports	26c	1,315$348 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$348	37	48.6%18 W · 19 L	+1.0wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed ex-KRÜ Esports	74c	1,224$900 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$323.68	4,038	48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L	-23.9wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa941…dc9ebacked Guara Esports	27c	1,000$270 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$270	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	-1.1wins	-0.08per pick	51cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3fcf…056bbacked Guara Esports	32c	869.72$275 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$274.53	113	54.9%62 W · 51 L	+5.1wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Guara Esports	28c	750$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210	558	43.5%243 W · 315 L	-16.8wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe9f…31e3backed Guara Esports	20c	750$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	26	50%13 W · 13 L	+1.2wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+28.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1065…6218backed Guara Esports	25c	684.25$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170.16	482	40%193 W · 289 L	+8.7wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3135…f6c3backed Guara Esports	20c	655.5$131 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$131.1	127	48%61 W · 66 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Guara Esports	15c	603.95$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.64	5,287	31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L	-383.3wins	-0.07per pick	39cpaid	-37.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xeb66…c8dfbacked Guara Esports	26c	573.26$149 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149.18	84	45.2%38 W · 46 L	+5.6wins	+0.07per pick	39cpaid	+36.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc5ac…2a18backed Guara Esports	27c	546.3$147 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$147.5	251	47.8%120 W · 131 L	+9.5wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+10%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe00f…0ae8backed Guara Esports	26c	528.67$138 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$137.63	23	34.8%8 W · 15 L	-1.2wins	-0.05per pick	40cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0241…fd36backed ex-KRÜ Esports	76c	500$380 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$120	401	55.1%221 W · 180 L	+1.7wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5135…7217backed Guara Esports	30c	463.73$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140	1,620	52.7%853 W · 767 L	+57.6wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1bac…d241backed Guara Esports	31c	374.85$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116.2	406	39.4%160 W · 246 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Guara Esports	6c	315.2$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.24	3,910	36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L	-197.6wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Guara Esports	26c	314.55$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.78	2,326	45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L	-62.2wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3265…cf6bbacked Guara Esports	22c	300$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66	143	31.5%45 W · 98 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	33cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed Guara Esports	25c	299.99$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	2,522	43%1,085 W · 1,437 L	+42.7wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x596a…7a0fbacked Guara Esports	26c	282.27$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.83	1,281	37.8%484 W · 797 L	+5.5wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3922…0670backed ex-KRÜ Esports	73c	273.47$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73.47	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.25per pick	75cpaid	+32.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeebb…0b96backed Guara Esports	28c	272.86$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77	358	39.4%141 W · 217 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5de7…5417backed Guara Esports	24c	256.73$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.78	1,146	43.5%499 W · 647 L	-17.5wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5aae…0da3backed ex-KRÜ Esports	72c	250$180 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70	142	55.6%79 W · 63 L	-3.9wins	-0.03per pick	58cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x71cf…10fdbacked Guara Esports	31c	234.97$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.84	19	47.4%9 W · 10 L	+0.8wins	+0.04per pick	43cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Guara Esports	15c	211.58$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.49	4,933	37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L	-249.2wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-32.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Guara Esports	23c	200$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46	262	46.9%123 W · 139 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5900…45ebbacked Guara Esports	25c	193.25$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.91	48	56.3%27 W · 21 L	+2.5wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x511f…be4fbacked Guara Esports	6c	182.45$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.95	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed ex-KRÜ Esports	75c	175$132 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.4	2,061	50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L	-18.7wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8726…0f36backed ex-KRÜ Esports	68c	157$107 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.24	740	54.6%404 W · 336 L	+15.3wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe252…5714backed Guara Esports	33c	151.51$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	233	35.2%82 W · 151 L	+8.2wins	+0.04per pick	32cpaid	+15.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Guara Esports	30c	150.24$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.73	340	36.5%124 W · 216 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9451…c12fbacked Guara Esports	14c	140.61$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.3	59	52.5%31 W · 28 L	-3.7wins	-0.06per pick	59cpaid	-21.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked ex-KRÜ Esports	78c	116.82$91 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.94	4,691	43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L	-83.2wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Guara Esports	24c	112.75$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.06	576	41.5%239 W · 337 L	-8.3wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e34…4480backed Guara Esports	29c	106.76$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.96	499	35.1%175 W · 324 L	-5.7wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0083…80fdbacked Guara Esports	26c	104.35$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.13	70	38.6%27 W · 43 L	-5.2wins	-0.07per pick	46cpaid	-24.9%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x021a…d3aebacked Guara Esports	25c	100.88$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.22	250	42.4%106 W · 144 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x08e0…f4a0backed ex-KRÜ Esports	73c	94.23$69 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.72	838	56.1%470 W · 368 L	+31.1wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Guara Esports	27c	76.51$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.66	1,573	35.3%556 W · 1,017 L	+22.5wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd02a…4771backed Guara Esports	31c	64.67$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	192	45.8%88 W · 104 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2c9e…fbfdbacked Guara Esports	27c	57.41$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.5	545	43.5%237 W · 308 L	-8.3wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Guara Esports	18c	56$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.31	1,848	41.7%770 W · 1,078 L	-69.2wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Guara Esports	25c	47$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.75	198	49%97 W · 101 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdb3d…58f5backed ex-KRÜ Esports	73c	46.42$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.69	378	55.3%209 W · 169 L	+5.8wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6cd…286bbacked ex-KRÜ Esports	70c	44.42$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.33	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6376…0d2abacked Guara Esports	28c	44$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.32	892	48%428 W · 464 L	-13.2wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e31…0e6ebacked ex-KRÜ Esports	75c	40$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10	446	75.3%336 W · 110 L	+10.9wins	+0.02per pick	73cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6d4…2f1ebacked ex-KRÜ Esports	75c	40$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10	291	56.7%165 W · 126 L	+9.5wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb52b…9646backed ex-KRÜ Esports	75c	30.82$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.82	220	59.1%130 W · 90 L	+6.2wins	+0.03per pick	56cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x04d6…9523backed ex-KRÜ Esports	76c	29.02$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.02	31	54.8%17 W · 14 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	57cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9422…f273backed ex-KRÜ Esports	71c	19.71$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.72	210	52.4%110 W · 100 L	-6.0wins	-0.03per pick	55cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6700…67c4backed ex-KRÜ Esports	79c	13.33$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2.86	153	51.6%79 W · 74 L	-8.4wins	-0.05per pick	57cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Counter-Strike: ex-KRÜ Esports vs Guara Esports (BO3) - CCT South America Series 2 Group Stagethis page
Counter-Strike: ex-KRÜ Esports vs Guara Esports - Map 1 Winnerex-KRÜ Esports won
Counter-Strike: ex-KRÜ Esports vs Guara Esports - Map 2 Winnerex-KRÜ Esports won
Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Counter-Strike: ex-KRÜ Esports vs Guara Esports (BO3) - CCT South America Series 2 Group Stage

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event