Tennis · resolved market
ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Helena Stevic vs Mariia Masiianskaia
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x252094c2ee25abc32f774338566b6f1e0e460dbdfda4d82ed144f596a083ad19
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mariia Masiianskaiaof Helena Stevic, Mariia Masiianskaia
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,011
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,036
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,011 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Helena Stevic | 46c | 592.13$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.38 | 1,149 | 41.3%474 W · 675 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Mariia Masiianskaia | 54c | 577$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.42 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54fe…5850backed Helena Stevic | 55c | 517.5$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.63 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Mariia Masiianskaia | 45c | 517.5$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.63 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Mariia Masiianskaia | 46c | 115.29$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.55 | 971 | 41.4%402 W · 569 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x312c…ceecbacked Helena Stevic | 54c | 105.31$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.87 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | -8.3wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Helena Stevic | 58c | 99.99$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.9 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf636…5465backed Mariia Masiianskaia | 42c | 85.35$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +10.5wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…b627backed Mariia Masiianskaia | 70c | 61.07$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.32 | 1,256 | 65.4%821 W · 435 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Mariia Masiianskaia | 51c | 44.23$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.73 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked Helena Stevic | 49c | 39.15$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.19 | 603 | 41.1%248 W · 355 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f34…ed6abacked Helena Stevic | 30c | 36.07$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.82 | 397 | 51.4%204 W · 193 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Helena Stevic | 47c | 31.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.77 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65ec…a2f9backed Mariia Masiianskaia | 53c | 30.06$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.13 | 450 | 53.3%240 W · 210 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe099…fc66backed Helena Stevic | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…a690backed Helena Stevic | 53c | 27.51$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Mariia Masiianskaia | 43c | 26$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.83 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Mariia Masiianskaia | 45c | 25.02$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.65 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x885f…8ed9backed Helena Stevic | 53c | 22.51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.93 | 111 | 44.1%49 W · 62 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.