Premier League · resolved market
FA Cup: Blackburn Rovers vs. Wolverhampton (To Advance)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2557cd4a0286db06e8b360a7b22ddc930b12606d2a33c7c76ba760db3cff335b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wolverhamptonof Blackburn, Wolverhampton
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,263
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,752
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,263 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb0e0…68a8backed Blackburn | 29c | 7,050$2,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,052.44 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Blackburn | 25c | 6,772$1,722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,722.4 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Wolverhampton | 75c | 4,953$3,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,253.33 | 211 | 53.1%112 W · 99 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe626…2fe6backed Wolverhampton | 75c | 3,411$2,558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$852.67 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Wolverhampton | 74c | 2,528$1,871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.4 | 346 | 43.9%152 W · 194 L | -14.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked Wolverhampton | 71c | 2,228$1,582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.98 | 117 | 61.5%72 W · 45 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Blackburn | 25c | 1,580$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.08 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Wolverhampton | 74c | 800$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208 | 449 | 39.6%178 W · 271 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf25…224cbacked Wolverhampton | 73c | 600$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Wolverhampton | 70c | 284$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.2 | 834 | 59.4%495 W · 339 L | +25.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Wolverhampton | 74c | 268.47$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.47 | 296 | 53%157 W · 139 L | -23.0wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Wolverhampton | 75c | 140$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.33 | 427 | 55%235 W · 192 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94d4…2c98backed Wolverhampton | 73c | 117$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7311…6b60backed Blackburn | 27c | 117$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.59 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07bf…dd92backed Blackburn | 27c | 117$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a0d…4d64backed Wolverhampton | 73c | 111$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.97 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73e0…ba4bbacked Blackburn | 27c | 111$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b61…78e8backed Blackburn | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 37cpaid | +302.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bd3…1d51backed Blackburn | 27c | 82$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…7fe3backed Wolverhampton | 73c | 78$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.06 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Wolverhampton | 70c | 71$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 655 | 57.7%378 W · 277 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Wolverhampton | 70c | 71$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 815 | 59%481 W · 334 L | +32.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf373…f3cebacked Wolverhampton | 73c | 63$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca65…3dbbbacked Wolverhampton | 75c | 60$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3975…626abacked Wolverhampton | 75c | 60$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90e9…04fabacked Wolverhampton | 73c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b64…2bcbbacked Wolverhampton | 73c | 48$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27b0…8404backed Wolverhampton | 73c | 28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 67cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd4…7696backed Wolverhampton | 74c | 19.03$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 146 | 43.2%63 W · 83 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f01…4ca2backed Wolverhampton | 72c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.92 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.