Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Fateh Saudi Club win on 2026-01-29?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x25863af2aea47f5307a543e8d26dbb382d16a6b9076372bb7683af1a694bc8cb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $92,140
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $95,259
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $92,140 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked Yes | 0c | 20,528$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.4 | 41 | 4.9%2 W · 39 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 3cpaid | +100.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ac…f3babacked Yes | 0c | 17,764$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.29 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 5c | 5,172$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.66 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 9c | 4,747$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.59 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 4c | 2,766$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.67 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 17c | 2,697$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.75 | 236 | 33.5%79 W · 157 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 10c | 2,112$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.78 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb8…753bbacked Yes | 11c | 1,867$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbac1…ce0ebacked Yes | 17c | 1,500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 59 | 62.7%37 W · 22 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef1…d333backed Yes | 1c | 1,250$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 8cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes | 16c | 611.14$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.66 | 239 | 27.2%65 W · 174 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa524…1252backed Yes | 18c | 511.11$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 41cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6aa…8882backed Yes | 14c | 428.14$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.94 | 40 | 17.5%7 W · 33 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd6a…72e3backed Yes | 14c | 385$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x466f…bb3bbacked Yes | 6c | 333.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 17cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Yes | 7c | 305.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +11.5wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 4c | 271.47$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 19c | 263.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 334 | 52.7%176 W · 158 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 16c | 195$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.86 | 275 | 40.7%112 W · 163 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 9c | 180$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.58 | 238 | 45.8%109 W · 129 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b55…9e46backed Yes | 14c | 161.36$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.59 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89ad…5e22backed Yes | 16c | 99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -20%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe33c…2bd1backed Yes | 12c | 88.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…bf48backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Fateh Saudi Club win on 2026-01-29?this page
- Will Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Al Ittihad Saudi Club win on 2026-01-29?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.