Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6cb5927a77b219a41b3f2f18340fe009acddf53fda3c920c2062b6ce5054423a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,754
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,068
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,754 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 29c | 7,379$2,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,145.08 | 135 | 33.3%45 W · 90 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 71c | 6,106$4,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,788.11 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 50c | 2,067$1,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,024.11 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes | 22c | 1,252$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$978.11 | 96 | 31.3%30 W · 66 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15ac…f3babacked No | 12c | 820$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.4 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 77c | 816.57$626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626.23 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…3111backed Yes | 25c | 800$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 19c | 775.5$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.52 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 76c | 561.06$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.54 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed No | 13c | 511.66$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.46 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…80f9backed No | 8c | 399.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes | 18c | 396.66$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.36 | 239 | 27.2%65 W · 174 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79fd…78cebacked Yes | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.36 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f19…ec51backed No | 35c | 372$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.85 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc1…b159backed Yes | 61c | 363.33$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.03 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 29c | 343.01$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.02 | 120 | 45.8%55 W · 65 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 19c | 269.75$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.48 | 275 | 40.7%112 W · 163 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked No | 42c | 255$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.57 | 109 | 44%48 W · 61 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 8c | 243.97$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.37 | 238 | 45.8%109 W · 129 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Yes | 8c | 187.12$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.22 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccc6…a5f1backed Yes | 54c | 185.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.93 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb90…8dd8backed No | 61c | 185$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.31 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed No | 46c | 180$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.8 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd40b…429abacked Yes | 54c | 180$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.8 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x309d…4287backed Yes | 54c | 156.22$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.54 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 18c | 149.99$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.99 | 299 | 17.4%52 W · 247 L | -13.0wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes | 27c | 136.83$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.83 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb648…c2ddbacked Yes | 19c | 123.5$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.04 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +113.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked No | 14c | 122.98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.35 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fb…74f3backed Yes | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.11 | 53 | 28.3%15 W · 38 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x466f…bb3bbacked Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.26 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 17cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Yes | 33c | 103.97$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.78 | 189 | 52.9%100 W · 89 L | +10.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc297…b0d2backed Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +81.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1723…9d18backed Yes | 19c | 63.16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked No | 61c | 62$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.56 | 91 | 47.3%43 W · 48 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61c6…2e9fbacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.18per pick | 40cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Yes | 25c | 45$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.75 | 131 | 40.5%53 W · 78 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Yes | 56c | 43.15$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.09 | 77 | 23.4%18 W · 59 L | -10.2wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed Yes | 42c | 30.56$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.58 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 79c | 27.55$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.72 | 531 | 48.8%259 W · 272 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1236…653cbacked No | 62c | 21.32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab4…676fbacked No | 75c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club end in a draw?this page
- Will Al Fateh Saudi Club win on 2026-01-29?No won
- Will Al Ittihad Saudi Club win on 2026-01-29?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.