South American Leagues · resolved market
CD Riestra vs. CA Platense: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x25901d0c6cd3b1144e5b70d9f0ec1f7bcbc0d1c1ad752438bd181d2e6518a77c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,087
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,649
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,087 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf5f9…87b0backed Over | 48c | 26,414$12,679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,678.75 | 183 | 52.5%96 W · 87 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 53c | 19,454$10,397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,056.91 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 49c | 7,000$3,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,429.97 | 165 | 43.6%72 W · 93 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 52c | 4,747$2,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,295.05 | 398 | 53%211 W · 187 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…0840backed Under | 52c | 3,846$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,846.15 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad5c…664abacked Under | 52c | 2,289$1,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,098.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c74…4ef0backed Under | 51c | 2,153$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,053.09 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdfe7…820fbacked Under | 55c | 1,989$1,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$895.19 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2dc…b624backed Over | 28c | 1,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed8f…5aa7backed Under | 51c | 488.8$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.51 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +5.1wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 12c | 458.36$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.41 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 20c | 384$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.8 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 51c | 334.15$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.85 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 769 | 51.5%396 W · 373 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…df56backed Over | 37c | 300$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x368c…9f72backed Over | 49c | 300$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.9 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 58c | 273.4$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.55 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02ea…220cbacked Under | 56c | 267.86$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.86 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…1d41backed Over | 44c | 258.8$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.87 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -7.2wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Over | 46c | 241.92$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.28 | 517 | 49.9%258 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fcd…42f2backed Over | 48c | 210$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9952…ceb2backed Under | 52c | 171.56$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.54 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 53c | 166.95$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.76 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over | 25c | 140$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 284 | 43%122 W · 162 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Over | 44c | 137.87$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.66 | 270 | 53%143 W · 127 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc208…cb5dbacked Under | 52c | 127.15$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.8 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +94%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd9…51d0backed Over | 38c | 105.26$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 138 | 33.3%46 W · 92 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6aa…3746backed Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 69 | 26.1%18 W · 51 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Under | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60c2…8052backed Over | 37c | 99.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d2…6e5dbacked Over | 53c | 94.68$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 44c | 79.55$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 166 | 56%93 W · 73 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Under | 47c | 76.68$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.64 | 551 | 55%303 W · 248 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Under | 53c | 75.59$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.52 | 91 | 62.6%57 W · 34 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 63c | 75.47$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.63 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf158…aa4bbacked Under | 51c | 73.69$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.08 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 45c | 73.33$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 493 | 41%202 W · 291 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c3c…cf9cbacked Under | 55c | 72.5$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed Under | 53c | 71.82$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.75 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed Under | 52c | 69.23$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.23 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…bfffbacked Over | 43c | 65.12$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.24per pick | 47cpaid | -55%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 49c | 60.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.92 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Over | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…7b3fbacked Over | 49c | 40.73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.96 | 96 | 54.2%52 W · 44 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Under | 48c | 31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.12 | 242 | 53.3%129 W · 113 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…f5b5backed Under | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 108 | 62%67 W · 41 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b35…768ebacked Under | 52c | 28.84$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.84 | 86 | 55.8%48 W · 38 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e92…7e9fbacked Under | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed Under | 48c | 21$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 109 | 43.1%47 W · 62 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52ca…54f0backed Under | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.62 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +7.0wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CD Riestra vs. CA Platense: O/U 1.5this page
- CD Riestra vs. CA Platense: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- CD Riestra vs. CA Platense: O/U 2.5Under won
- CD Riestra vs. CA Platense: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CA Platense (-2.5)CD Riestra won
- Spread: CD Riestra (-2.5)CA Platense won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.