South American Leagues · resolved market
CD Riestra vs. CA Platense: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf5fd1dd6ae566edd1f725b8542cb72b2f58d7d1d2e92722a1ef814771fa23916
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,814
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,005
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,814 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbca0…d7a0backed Over | 23c | 8,480$1,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,950.35 | 148 | 29.7%44 W · 104 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea00…c1f1backed Under | 77c | 2,500$1,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfe7…820fbacked Under | 80c | 2,253$1,803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.81 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a40…c93fbacked Under | 77c | 1,500$1,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 79c | 647.19$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.06 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d2…6e5dbacked Over | 26c | 502.12$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.55 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6f14…c845backed Over | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 74c | 417.03$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.43 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 16c | 348.76$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.32 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Under | 79c | 329.11$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.11 | 95 | 67.4%64 W · 31 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0189…cab8backed Under | 79c | 200$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5a…3427backed Under | 78c | 190$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 74 | 63.5%47 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Under | 74c | 180$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.8 | 551 | 55%303 W · 248 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under | 77c | 150$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 114 | 59.6%68 W · 46 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 17c | 147$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 493 | 41%202 W · 291 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 21c | 142.23$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.87 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Under | 77c | 135$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.05 | 194 | 60.3%117 W · 77 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Under | 77c | 115$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.45 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Under | 77c | 112$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Under | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee26…9dcabacked Over | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed Under | 77c | 90$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.7 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Under | 77c | 90$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.7 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc16f…0f4fbacked Under | 77c | 75$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.25 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84fc…9db4backed Under | 77c | 60$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Under | 77c | 60$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed Under | 77c | 60$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked Under | 77c | 60$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked Under | 77c | 60$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed Under | 77c | 60$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf7…bcbebacked Under | 77c | 60$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Under | 77c | 60$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Under | 77c | 60$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 69 | 62.3%43 W · 26 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked Under | 77c | 60$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Under | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46af…1f6abacked Under | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Under | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 163 | 47.9%78 W · 85 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b5…798cbacked Under | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed Under | 77c | 45.54$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 170 | 66.5%113 W · 57 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd03b…856cbacked Under | 77c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6afd…5cb1backed Under | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x778e…ccd1backed Under | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Under | 77c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8bdf…8adabacked Under | 77c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…c728backed Under | 77c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea2e…d695backed Under | 77c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4edd…b1a1backed Under | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02f4…4effbacked Under | 79c | 17.97$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.77 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 80c | 13.82$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.81 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CD Riestra vs. CA Platense: O/U 2.5this page
- CD Riestra vs. CA Platense: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- CD Riestra vs. CA Platense: O/U 1.5Under won
- CD Riestra vs. CA Platense: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CA Platense (-2.5)CD Riestra won
- Spread: CD Riestra (-2.5)CA Platense won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.