Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Virginia Tech Hokies (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x25a9b2ae00242d88a715eec3b595516d2e32fce36bd1117f70e910c3e9887ad4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wake Forest Demon Deaconsof Virginia Tech Hokies, Wake Forest Demon Deacons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,641
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,641 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf668…5c69backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 57c | 1,709$974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.96 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +73.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Virginia Tech Hokies | 50c | 1,555$778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$777.5 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a97…c1f9backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 50c | 660.77$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.38 | 219 | 55.3%121 W · 98 L | +13.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Virginia Tech Hokies | 43c | 652.47$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.41 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Virginia Tech Hokies | 39c | 589.62$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.02 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 61c | 535.75$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.43 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe33f…e413backed Virginia Tech Hokies | 45c | 499.12$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.6 | 372 | 46.2%172 W · 200 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 53c | 411.48$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.82 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Virginia Tech Hokies | 44c | 111.59$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.1 | 270 | 48.1%130 W · 140 L | +12.8wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Virginia Tech Hokies | 48c | 104.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 828 | 46.1%382 W · 446 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Virginia Tech Hokies | 50c | 97.17$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.59 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 56c | 88.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.95 | 316 | 47.8%151 W · 165 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4683…1218backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 59c | 74.01$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.39 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fae…c000backed Virginia Tech Hokies | 40c | 61.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.79 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 39cpaid | -80.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 52c | 57.19$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.45 | 586 | 52.9%310 W · 276 L | +23.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Virginia Tech Hokies | 43c | 54.97$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.64 | 624 | 51.1%319 W · 305 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 59c | 44.05$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.11 | 848 | 54.5%462 W · 386 L | +32.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 62c | 43.5$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.53 | 162 | 55.6%90 W · 72 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c75…de96backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 60c | 34.74$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 52c | 32.67$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.68 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe07f…08d6backed Virginia Tech Hokies | 46c | 31.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 51c | 26.24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 83 | 72.3%60 W · 23 L | +14.6wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xa574…ae93backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 58c | 25.64$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 50c | 24.03$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.01 | 306 | 52%159 W · 147 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Virginia Tech Hokies (-2.5)this page
- Spread: Virginia Tech Hokies (-1.5)Wake Forest Demon Deacons won
- Wake Forest Demon Deacons vs. Virginia Tech HokiesWake Forest Demon Deacons won
- Wake Forest Demon Deacons vs. Virginia Tech Hokies: O/U 151.5Over won
- Wake Forest Demon Deacons vs. Virginia Tech Hokies: O/U 152.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.