Europa Conference League · resolved market
Spread: FC Twente (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x25ac618411c77ed5b464ea3f0b4834721ceabfb89793155b6da9054f294b04c9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FC DAC 1904 Dunajská Stredaof FC Twente, FC DAC 1904 Dunajská Streda
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,331
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,009
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,331 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed FC Twente | 33c | 2,847$943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$943.18 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed FC DAC 1904 Dunajská Streda | 67c | 2,834$1,889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$945.36 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed FC Twente | 33c | 858.52$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.31 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked FC DAC 1904 Dunajská Streda | 67c | 209$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.97 | 1,033 | 46.1%476 W · 557 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked FC Twente | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 778 | 55%428 W · 350 L | +23.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3b…d591backed FC DAC 1904 Dunajská Streda | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.33 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked FC Twente | 76c | 83.33$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.33 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fe…ba40backed FC Twente | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed FC Twente | 37c | 45$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.65 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked FC Twente | 35c | 42.9$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.92 | 389 | 52.7%205 W · 184 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed FC Twente | 34c | 37.37$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.71 | 655 | 49.8%326 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed FC DAC 1904 Dunajská Streda | 67c | 34.76$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.55 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked FC DAC 1904 Dunajská Streda | 60c | 25.76$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.27 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: FC Twente (-1.5)this page
- FC DAC 1904 Dunajská Streda vs. FC Twente: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- FC DAC 1904 Dunajská Streda vs. FC Twente: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- FC DAC 1904 Dunajská Streda vs. FC Twente: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FC DAC 1904 Dunajská Streda vs. FC Twente: FC Twente O/U 2.5Over won
- FC DAC 1904 Dunajská Streda vs. FC Twente: O/U 0.5Over won
- FC DAC 1904 Dunajská Streda vs. FC Twente: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC DAC 1904 Dunajská Streda vs. FC Twente: O/U 2.5Over won
- FC DAC 1904 Dunajská Streda vs. FC Twente: O/U 3.5Over won
- FC DAC 1904 Dunajská Streda vs. FC Twente: O/U 4.5Over won
- FC DAC 1904 Dunajská Streda vs. FC Twente: O/U 5.5Over won
- FC DAC 1904 Dunajská Streda vs. FC Twente: Team to AdvanceFC Twente won
- Spread: FC Twente (-2.5)FC DAC 1904 Dunajská Streda won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.