Tennis · resolved market
Thionville: Jurij Rodionov vs Martin Krumich
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x25b379af1a947c8eee279b3350f70481320bbc602622f8094c383001760ab333
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jurij Rodionovof Jurij Rodionov, Martin Krumich
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,874
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,874 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Jurij Rodionov | 72c | 8,042$5,763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,279.29 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Martin Krumich | 28c | 3,687$1,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,032.03 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Martin Krumich | 33c | 3,124$1,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,042.73 | 1,988 | 46.1%917 W · 1,071 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Martin Krumich | 14c | 2,879$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.64 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Martin Krumich | 9c | 2,367$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.63 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Martin Krumich | 27c | 1,707$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.82 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Martin Krumich | 28c | 1,409$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.26 | 6,700 | 50.8%3,401 W · 3,299 L | +267.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Jurij Rodionov | 68c | 639.5$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.39 | 129 | 52.7%68 W · 61 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Martin Krumich | 31c | 620$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.2 | 485 | 52.8%256 W · 229 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked Jurij Rodionov | 70c | 567.62$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.62 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Jurij Rodionov | 66c | 522$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.24 | 7,791 | 47.8%3,722 W · 4,069 L | +39.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb906…2a75backed Jurij Rodionov | 67c | 427.44$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.06 | 407 | 44%179 W · 228 L | -14.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Martin Krumich | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,060 | 59.5%1,226 W · 834 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Jurij Rodionov | 67c | 295$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.44 | 1,588 | 47%746 W · 842 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Jurij Rodionov | 72c | 286.63$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.13 | 6,584 | 54.4%3,584 W · 3,000 L | +286.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdab8…1bc7backed Martin Krumich | 31c | 265.6$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.78 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +6.4wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…2b3abacked Jurij Rodionov | 76c | 264.17$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.17 | 503 | 64.6%325 W · 178 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Martin Krumich | 29c | 245.93$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.34 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Jurij Rodionov | 72c | 208.33$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.75 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Martin Krumich | 33c | 180$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.4 | 273 | 44.7%122 W · 151 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Jurij Rodionov | 74c | 175.33$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.76 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97c7…dddfbacked Martin Krumich | 29c | 172.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.03 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -36%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…5c9fbacked Martin Krumich | 30c | 150$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 158 | 48.7%77 W · 81 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61ec…838fbacked Jurij Rodionov | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 188 | 68.6%129 W · 59 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x537a…7447backed Jurij Rodionov | 71c | 140.15$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.15 | 303 | 51.8%157 W · 146 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Jurij Rodionov | 80c | 126$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Martin Krumich | 26c | 120.55$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.99 | 6,898 | 48.9%3,374 W · 3,524 L | +61.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Martin Krumich | 20c | 110.33$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.57 | 430 | 58.6%252 W · 178 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70f9…f25bbacked Jurij Rodionov | 66c | 108$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.72 | 993 | 56%556 W · 437 L | +33.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Martin Krumich | 35c | 101$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.72 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Jurij Rodionov | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 2,343 | 51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L | +95.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Jurij Rodionov | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 779 | 67.8%528 W · 251 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Martin Krumich | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Jurij Rodionov | 73c | 90$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.3 | 737 | 45.2%333 W · 404 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd88a…1eefbacked Martin Krumich | 32c | 80$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.43 | 544 | 34.2%186 W · 358 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Martin Krumich | 24c | 61.97$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 813 | 49.1%399 W · 414 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Jurij Rodionov | 69c | 60$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 2,804 | 53.7%1,505 W · 1,299 L | +71.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Martin Krumich | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Martin Krumich | 26c | 54.21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.09 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31dd…7159backed Martin Krumich | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 903 | 40.2%363 W · 540 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2dd…61dcbacked Jurij Rodionov | 76c | 52.02$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.49 | 43 | 86%37 W · 6 L | +5.3wins | +0.12per pick | 74cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5271…0f95backed Martin Krumich | 33c | 52$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.35 | 108 | 35.2%38 W · 70 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd866…55e0backed Martin Krumich | 33c | 51.67$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.21 | 384 | 60.4%232 W · 152 L | +29.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Martin Krumich | 30c | 48.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 1,240 | 41.2%511 W · 729 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x449e…4f8ebacked Jurij Rodionov | 65c | 46.11$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.14 | 135 | 56.3%76 W · 59 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x012d…9db6backed Jurij Rodionov | 72c | 43.19$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.19 | 861 | 68.4%589 W · 272 L | +25.5wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f6d…bfc5backed Jurij Rodionov | 72c | 41.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.68 | 312 | 53.2%166 W · 146 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0154…30f7backed Jurij Rodionov | 66c | 37.88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 524 | 57.4%301 W · 223 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe496…4d8bbacked Martin Krumich | 31c | 37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.32 | 182 | 33.5%61 W · 121 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Martin Krumich | 29c | 36.01$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 451 | 47.2%213 W · 238 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Jurij Rodionov | 71c | 33.94$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.94 | 537 | 52.3%281 W · 256 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Martin Krumich | 35c | 31.43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 957 | 42.1%403 W · 554 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Jurij Rodionov | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 580 | 67.8%393 W · 187 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff1…4766backed Jurij Rodionov | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 167 | 62.3%104 W · 63 L | +9.8wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ea…2aacbacked Jurij Rodionov | 66c | 22.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 72 | 61.1%44 W · 28 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x937e…44c7backed Jurij Rodionov | 71c | 21.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 72cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb79e…8d77backed Jurij Rodionov | 65c | 19.43$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 68cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.