Premier League · resolved market
Stoke City FC vs. Leicester City FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x25bcc918b4b4f3042f8652a60822c5bbcc1e2235d9f9819e28bb7f57e0a1639f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,440
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,817
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,440 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 54c | 7,392$3,968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,968.22 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc311…44fcbacked Over | 47c | 5,338$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,837.6 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -3.4wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,699.98 | 506 | 44.3%224 W · 282 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 55c | 2,382$1,303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,303.18 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad5c…664abacked Over | 45c | 2,222$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,222.22 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Over | 45c | 2,003$901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,101.71 | 346 | 28.6%99 W · 247 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5858…dc6bbacked Over | 45c | 1,638$737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$901.06 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 52c | 1,014$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.5 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 43c | 793$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.16 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a4…f0c0backed Over | 71c | 702.74$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.74 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 46c | 500$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x064e…4347backed Over | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.44 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 45c | 400.99$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.55 | 722 | 49.9%360 W · 362 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfea6…d837backed Under | 8c | 270$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 43c | 247.83$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.26 | 741 | 56.8%421 W · 320 L | +46.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Under | 57c | 243.63$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.75 | 163 | 57.1%93 W · 70 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Over | 58c | 234.48$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.48 | 236 | 32.2%76 W · 160 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked Over | 46c | 209.17$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.95 | 234 | 35.9%84 W · 150 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 46c | 208.23$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.44 | 758 | 50%379 W · 379 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Over | 45c | 179.99$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 191 | 45%86 W · 105 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Over | 46c | 164$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.56 | 210 | 49%103 W · 107 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over | 45c | 150$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.5 | 834 | 59.4%495 W · 339 L | +25.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Over | 45c | 135$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.25 | 655 | 57.7%378 W · 277 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked Over | 50c | 126.65$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.75 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 61c | 122.95$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.95 | 255 | 50.2%128 W · 127 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Over | 45c | 115$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.25 | 351 | 57.8%203 W · 148 L | +18.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Over | 45c | 112$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.6 | 292 | 59.2%173 W · 119 L | +14.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 37c | 111.7$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.53 | 469 | 43.5%204 W · 265 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Under | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 148 | 45.9%68 W · 80 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed Over | 45c | 90$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 273 | 54.9%150 W · 123 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Over | 45c | 90$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 323 | 57.6%186 W · 137 L | +17.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 46c | 89.95$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.63 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 208 | 64.9%135 W · 73 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ae…106cbacked Over | 46c | 79$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.66 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84fc…9db4backed Over | 45c | 60$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 269 | 58.4%157 W · 112 L | +13.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Over | 45c | 60$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 261 | 58.2%152 W · 109 L | +14.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed Over | 45c | 60$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 305 | 54.8%167 W · 138 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked Over | 45c | 60$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 254 | 56.3%143 W · 111 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked Over | 45c | 60$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 260 | 58.5%152 W · 108 L | +15.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed Over | 45c | 60$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 367 | 58.3%214 W · 153 L | +23.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf7…bcbebacked Over | 45c | 60$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 290 | 57.9%168 W · 122 L | +14.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Over | 45c | 60$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 282 | 55.7%157 W · 125 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Over | 45c | 60$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 383 | 58.2%223 W · 160 L | +24.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +16%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked Over | 45c | 60$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 283 | 59.4%168 W · 115 L | +16.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…22a9backed Over | 45c | 60$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 321 | 58.6%188 W · 133 L | +18.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef80…7654backed Over | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.56 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -5.1wins | -0.20per pick | 36cpaid | -60%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Under | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 279 | 55.9%156 W · 123 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Over | 45c | 53.98$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.71 | 159 | 49.1%78 W · 81 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Over | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 362 | 59.1%214 W · 148 L | +23.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x46af…1f6abacked Over | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 129 | 51.2%66 W · 63 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b5…798cbacked Over | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Under | 56c | 45.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.38 | 207 | 58%120 W · 87 L | +11.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a05…5e25backed Over | 46c | 44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.76 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd03b…856cbacked Over | 45c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 71 | 60.6%43 W · 28 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f85…87d5backed Over | 46c | 35.65$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.25 | 100 | 44%44 W · 56 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75fd…9a86backed Over | 44c | 33.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.76 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Over | 44c | 31.9$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.86 | 1,007 | 51.5%519 W · 488 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6afd…5cb1backed Over | 45c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 229 | 58.1%133 W · 96 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x778e…ccd1backed Over | 45c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 174 | 56.9%99 W · 75 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Over | 45c | 29.22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.07 | 186 | 51.6%96 W · 90 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Over | 43c | 28.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.53 | 55 | 65.5%36 W · 19 L | +6.7wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5d22…040cbacked Under | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8bdf…8adabacked Over | 45c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 236 | 58.1%137 W · 99 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9154…8f2dbacked Over | 50c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…c728backed Over | 45c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 269 | 59.9%161 W · 108 L | +13.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea2e…d695backed Over | 45c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 228 | 58.8%134 W · 94 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5de…a312backed Over | 46c | 24.8$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.39 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 55c | 24.56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.54 | 497 | 53.7%267 W · 230 L | +27.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Over | 51c | 21.46$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.43 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb152…ef4cbacked Under | 56c | 19.03$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.74 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Stoke City FC vs. Leicester City FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Stoke City FC vs. Leicester City FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Stoke City FC vs. Leicester City FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Stoke City FC vs. Leicester City FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Stoke City FC vs. Leicester City FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.