Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will SBV Excelsior vs. Telstar 1963 end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x25ce04824773f94da92ddeb3776783f3fa2d59dd8f26416204bca6c2663295e0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,478
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,142
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,478 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 7c | 18,630$1,308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,321.45 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 28c | 1,321$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.61 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Yes | 8c | 1,011$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$927.07 | 115 | 27%31 W · 84 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 11c | 581.7$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.09 | 869 | 60.4%525 W · 344 L | +91.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 31c | 480.92$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.5 | 141 | 32.6%46 W · 95 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b3…6bfcbacked No | 66c | 400$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed No | 71c | 270.86$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.31 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Yes | 29c | 270.86$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.31 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8104…3128backed Yes | 23c | 196.43$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.25 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 35c | 122.12$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.38 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7a…6563backed No | 73c | 74$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.02 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 64c | 71.1$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.24 | 598 | 55.5%332 W · 266 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f91…8065backed No | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f83…94cabacked Yes | 17c | 59.54$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.42 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +48%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 65c | 48$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.32 | 133 | 30.1%40 W · 93 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0685…2b0cbacked Yes | 33c | 46.69$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.38 | 46 | 21.7%10 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed No | 42c | 35.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 77 | 36.4%28 W · 49 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa5…d820backed No | 80c | 30.73$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe0…e3e0backed No | 65c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…ed2bbacked No | 73c | 19.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.14 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.35per pick | 55cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad68…b97cbacked No | 74c | 16.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 77cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Yes | 79c | 16.03$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.37 | 111 | 45%50 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SBV Excelsior vs. Telstar 1963 end in a draw?this page
- Will SBV Excelsior win on 2026-01-16?No won
- Will Telstar 1963 win on 2026-01-16?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.