Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Portland Pilots (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x26021ba1aebbdc1bb15413c1f378753d453e028e35d6d42fb8427786ad064a8a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pepperdine Wavesof Portland Pilots, Pepperdine Waves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,631
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,965
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,631 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Pepperdine Waves | 48c | 22,475$10,749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,725.87 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Portland Pilots | 52c | 15,343$7,975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,975.11 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Portland Pilots | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 110 | 48.2%53 W · 57 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Pepperdine Waves | 48c | 2,255$1,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,172.43 | 351 | 47.6%167 W · 184 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Portland Pilots | 52c | 2,064$1,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,073.24 | 746 | 49.2%367 W · 379 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Portland Pilots | 52c | 1,733$901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$901.16 | 741 | 52.6%390 W · 351 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc0d…78a5backed Portland Pilots | 52c | 960.02$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.21 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +29%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Portland Pilots | 51c | 733.01$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.83 | 301 | 39.2%118 W · 183 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa62e…8885backed Pepperdine Waves | 48c | 616.11$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.74 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Pepperdine Waves | 49c | 598.02$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.42 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30a3…1943backed Pepperdine Waves | 53c | 511.7$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.5 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -7.2wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdab9…cdfcbacked Pepperdine Waves | 49c | 481.29$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.29 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Portland Pilots | 52c | 274.05$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.51 | 922 | 46%424 W · 498 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Portland Pilots | 52c | 248$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.96 | 635 | 51.5%327 W · 308 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb8…1c45backed Portland Pilots | 12c | 216.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Pepperdine Waves | 50c | 196.07$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.45 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Portland Pilots | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Portland Pilots | 52c | 160.77$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.6 | 99 | 45.5%45 W · 54 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Portland Pilots | 53c | 153$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.09 | 239 | 48.1%115 W · 124 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb314…aacbbacked Pepperdine Waves | 48c | 144.41$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.58 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83ea…c2efbacked Portland Pilots | 53c | 132.82$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 230 | 54.3%125 W · 105 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Portland Pilots | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 852 | 48.8%416 W · 436 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Portland Pilots | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 833 | 50.2%418 W · 415 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Portland Pilots | 52c | 71.98$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.43 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…ef6bbacked Pepperdine Waves | 48c | 66.64$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.65 | 141 | 48.9%69 W · 72 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf0…b95dbacked Pepperdine Waves | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb7…d529backed Portland Pilots | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 211 | 52.1%110 W · 101 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Portland Pilots | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 307 | 46.3%142 W · 165 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Portland Pilots | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 233 | 63.9%149 W · 84 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3de…fe0ebacked Pepperdine Waves | 48c | 26.88$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.98 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…ce8abacked Pepperdine Waves | 51c | 23.44$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.49 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +75.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ab…f94cbacked Portland Pilots | 49c | 23.44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Pepperdine Waves | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Pepperdine Waves | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 828 | 46.1%382 W · 446 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Portland Pilots (-6.5)this page
- Pepperdine Waves vs. Portland PilotsPepperdine Waves won
- Pepperdine Waves vs. Portland Pilots: O/U 150.5Over won
- Spread: Portland Pilots (-5.5)Pepperdine Waves won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.