Tennis · resolved market
ITF M15 Targu Jiu Men: Gabriel Ghetu vs Matteo Sciahbasi
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x26127cf071589f810c1fd892636fb02d0c18a9dae7c4b93f9caee75f3629c48c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Gabriel Ghetuof Gabriel Ghetu, Matteo Sciahbasi
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,371
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,189
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,371 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3556…af4fbacked Matteo Sciahbasi | 55c | 834.36$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.9 | 277 | 24.9%69 W · 208 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb74c…f4f1backed Gabriel Ghetu | 45c | 431.62$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.39 | 158 | 44.9%71 W · 87 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Gabriel Ghetu | 60c | 417.44$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.44 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Gabriel Ghetu | 68c | 227$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.64 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d7…47a4backed Gabriel Ghetu | 46c | 171.74$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.74 | 1,023 | 41.3%422 W · 601 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Gabriel Ghetu | 49c | 151.02$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.02 | 1,417 | 45.2%640 W · 777 L | +41.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Matteo Sciahbasi | 52c | 94.43$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.13 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf30…5c23backed Matteo Sciahbasi | 36c | 92.41$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.69 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | -8.2wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Matteo Sciahbasi | 26c | 88.96$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.81 | 489 | 47.4%232 W · 257 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2470…7ae6backed Gabriel Ghetu | 70c | 80.16$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.05 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc02…ce2abacked Gabriel Ghetu | 77c | 64.69$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.88 | 215 | 72.6%156 W · 59 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 73cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Gabriel Ghetu | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 942 | 55.8%526 W · 416 L | +19.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Matteo Sciahbasi | 42c | 51.62$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.61 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4b6…5858backed Matteo Sciahbasi | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 230 | 30.4%70 W · 160 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Gabriel Ghetu | 72c | 41.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Matteo Sciahbasi | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked Gabriel Ghetu | 80c | 18.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 1,025 | 54%554 W · 471 L | +37.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.