Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Damac Saudi Club end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x262b0074a669948b409b6033a5a40719b037991147ad9621b0bb95a1393ad4d4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,753
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,746
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,753 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9ea7…0607backed Yes | 7c | 1,300$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 9c | 1,087$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.84 | 1,662 | 36.2%602 W · 1,060 L | -34.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bfc…26aebacked Yes | 6c | 1,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30e8…38b0backed Yes | 3c | 1,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…ca8dbacked Yes | 10c | 473$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.3 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked Yes | 9c | 417.72$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.59 | 148 | 48%71 W · 77 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc056…e188backed Yes | 10c | 400$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Yes | 9c | 328.57$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.9 | 84 | 35.7%30 W · 54 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce7f…de96backed Yes | 10c | 312.18$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.22 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 49cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Yes | 6c | 311.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 108 | 43.5%47 W · 61 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d91…40d3backed Yes | 9c | 186.56$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 8c | 147$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 905 | 44.9%406 W · 499 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62ff…6b66backed Yes | 9c | 122.78$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc6…1cedbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 24cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Damac Saudi Club end in a draw?this page
- Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2026-04-28?Yes won
- Will Damac Saudi Club win on 2026-04-28?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.