Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2026-04-28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x10a8eb3c9cfe9511b061abc9d245e271d08e4dae66ca1fc3fea7423df67030f0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $55,173
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $74,197
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,173 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 14c | 4,151$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.21 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 14c | 2,746$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.45 | 1,617 | 36.3%587 W · 1,030 L | -34.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 13c | 2,568$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.78 | 1,707 | 50.6%863 W · 844 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed No | 2c | 2,014$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.85 | 201 | 32.3%65 W · 136 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d52…834ebacked No | 15c | 1,788$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 7c | 1,742$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.93 | 825 | 42.4%350 W · 475 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 14c | 1,738$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.38 | 1,109 | 46.2%512 W · 597 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35a6…cb8fbacked No | 13c | 1,516$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.09 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 22cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3528…1ef9backed No | 7c | 1,417$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 13c | 1,328$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.4 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked No | 12c | 727.76$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.13 | 150 | 36.7%55 W · 95 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 13c | 668.36$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.3 | 399 | 54.6%218 W · 181 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed No | 8c | 635.38$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.34 | 84 | 35.7%30 W · 54 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked No | 14c | 348.84$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.84 | 148 | 48%71 W · 77 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe92e…0a8dbacked No | 12c | 317.14$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.06 | 24 | 4.2%1 W · 23 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 15cpaid | -86.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed No | 10c | 234.3$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.43 | 276 | 39.1%108 W · 168 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87fe…3cbebacked No | 14c | 207$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed No | 12c | 166.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…db5bbacked No | 13c | 141.3$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52f6…af63backed No | 10c | 107.32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -63.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31f3…0eacbacked Yes | 76c | 95.58$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.29 | 88 | 43.2%38 W · 50 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3101…e57fbacked No | 12c | 83.55$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed No | 24c | 82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.68 | 200 | 56.5%113 W · 87 L | +9.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00f7…4476backed No | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2026-04-28?this page
- Will Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Damac Saudi Club end in a draw?No won
- Will Damac Saudi Club win on 2026-04-28?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.