TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Spread: CA Tucumán (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
CA Sarmientoof CA Tucumán, CA Sarmiento
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$5,703
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$5,703

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,703 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0346…52a5backed CA Tucumán26c5,275$1,348 inLost-$1,347.72,28134.3%782 W · 1,499 L-30.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed CA Sarmiento74c3,103$2,307 inWon+$795.488,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed CA Sarmiento74c1,250$925 inWon+$32534747.6%165 W · 182 L+17.7wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed CA Tucumán26c348.04$90 inLost-$90.491,65150.6%836 W · 815 L-4.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d67…3667backed CA Sarmiento75c181.19$136 inWon+$44.6946449.6%230 W · 234 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed CA Sarmiento74c179$132 inWon+$46.5442962.2%267 W · 162 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed CA Sarmiento74c178.27$132 inWon+$45.8855946%257 W · 302 L-19.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1010…d793backed CA Sarmiento75c140$105 inWon+$35.225345.1%114 W · 139 L-6.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-1.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed CA Sarmiento76c117.21$89 inWon+$28.1345253.1%240 W · 212 L+14.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x460c…b5b5backed CA Sarmiento75c90.79$68 inWon+$22.553548.6%17 W · 18 L-3.6wins-0.10per pick59cpaid-25.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed CA Sarmiento75c81.53$62 inWon+$2050656.3%285 W · 221 L+9.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed CA Sarmiento76c78.73$59 inWon+$19.2869453.5%371 W · 323 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfaa7…977abacked CA Sarmiento76c52.63$40 inWon+$12.631637.5%6 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed CA Sarmiento75c42.1$32 inWon+$10.3863061.3%386 W · 244 L+22.3wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc8e…944ebacked CA Sarmiento74c33.53$25 inWon+$8.7213167.9%89 W · 42 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick70cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked CA Sarmiento75c22$16 inWon+$5.5872058.8%423 W · 297 L+29.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x013f…ca85backed CA Sarmiento75c16.02$12 inWon+$3.952850%14 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd819…2d80backed CA Sarmiento75c15$11 inWon+$3.7514563.4%92 W · 53 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.