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Other European Leagues · resolved market

AC Horsens vs. Viborg FF: O/U 4.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$33,327
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$43,017

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,327 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet's whole record in Other European Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa24e…1be8backed Over43c3,000$1,290 inWon+$1,709.651428.6%4 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-43.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over17c2,043$347 inWon+$1,695.572,72935.8%978 W · 1,751 L-13.0wins0.00per pick36cpaid-3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over17c2,000$340 inWon+$1,6602,16747.9%1,038 W · 1,129 L+5.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Over17c1,470$250 inWon+$1,220.133736.2%122 W · 215 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+13.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over15c1,245$182 inWon+$1,062.642,10336.6%770 W · 1,333 L-27.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under45c914.7$414 inLost-$413.5596542.9%414 W · 551 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under72c894.15$642 inLost-$642.172,12335.5%754 W · 1,369 L-24.7wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Over17c800$136 inWon+$66415952.8%84 W · 75 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd04…c5e1backed Under77c633.31$490 inLost-$489.712580%20 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick75cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x03c9…d8c1backed Over53c438.7$233 inWon+$206.193060%18 W · 12 L+3.8wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+46.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over56c333$186 inWon+$146.5239348.1%189 W · 204 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f6d…bfc5backed Over47c252.45$119 inWon+$133.86749.3%33 W · 34 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Over17c200$34 inWon+$1661,50748.1%725 W · 782 L+3.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over22c175$39 inWon+$135.8638639.4%152 W · 234 L-11.1wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-30.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaaf5…c7b6backed Under56c110.71$62 inLost-$6210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Over14c101.99$14 inWon+$87.7114342%60 W · 83 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e49…e7debacked Under42c99.07$41 inLost-$41.351250%6 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-20.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed Under15c88.89$13 inLost-$13.338030%24 W · 56 L+9.9wins+0.12per pick18cpaid+216.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Over57c80.36$46 inWon+$34.5534551%176 W · 169 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d93…fdefbacked Over55c46.98$26 inWon+$21.146544.6%29 W · 36 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-21.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Over28c45$13 inWon+$32.412864.8%83 W · 45 L+7.3wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+3.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcac7…37d8backed Under77c34.47$27 inLost-$26.54977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick66cpaid+20%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over75c15$11 inWon+$3.7525247.2%119 W · 133 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-15.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.