Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: eSports Cologne vs RIZON (BO3) - VCL DACH: Evolution Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2646ada5b031757b46aa1938af0be8f508ecb11b259b56c6298af7285fdbdce6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- RIZONof eSports Cologne, RIZON
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,301
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,461
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,301 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed eSports Cologne | 43c | 480.63$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.74 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked RIZON | 67c | 465.87$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.34 | 174 | 63.8%111 W · 63 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked RIZON | 54c | 333.89$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.61 | 610 | 35.9%219 W · 391 L | -17.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked eSports Cologne | 46c | 329.48$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.64 | 450 | 33.8%152 W · 298 L | -35.6wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed eSports Cologne | 12c | 225$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 702 | 51.3%360 W · 342 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6d…3070backed eSports Cologne | 11c | 170.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.58 | 67 | 25.4%17 W · 50 L | -6.6wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeac5…cab7backed eSports Cologne | 43c | 142.36$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.64 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed eSports Cologne | 25c | 122.81$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.31 | 418 | 35.6%149 W · 269 L | -19.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22d2…82d7backed eSports Cologne | 17c | 119.62$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 74 | 33.8%25 W · 49 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed RIZON | 47c | 99.46$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.99 | 347 | 39.8%138 W · 209 L | -13.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc55…a069backed eSports Cologne | 48c | 96.88$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +3.5wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4f55…4213backed RIZON | 44c | 96.64$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked eSports Cologne | 40c | 94.89$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.63 | 168 | 42.3%71 W · 97 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed eSports Cologne | 28c | 84.22$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.93 | 666 | 38%253 W · 413 L | -32.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10b2…9ac1backed eSports Cologne | 24c | 78.45$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.09 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 33cpaid | +94.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked eSports Cologne | 55c | 75.78$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.62 | 1,607 | 37.5%603 W · 1,004 L | -75.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed eSports Cologne | 52c | 65$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.57 | 425 | 40.5%172 W · 253 L | -22.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked eSports Cologne | 45c | 61$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.46 | 1,365 | 38.9%531 W · 834 L | -60.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15d1…2f08backed eSports Cologne | 48c | 51.79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.05 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7756…d00abacked RIZON | 57c | 51.01$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.93 | 141 | 52.5%74 W · 67 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e96…f2debacked RIZON | 38c | 46.01$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.35 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1791…3e87backed eSports Cologne | 40c | 45.4$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.11 | 247 | 51.8%128 W · 119 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked eSports Cologne | 39c | 43.94$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.3 | 210 | 48.1%101 W · 109 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed RIZON | 58c | 41.17$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.29 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | -8.4wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x34c5…db89backed RIZON | 56c | 39.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 159 | 52.8%84 W · 75 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4af0…7696backed eSports Cologne | 36c | 39.47$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked RIZON | 42c | 37.64$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.83 | 404 | 54.7%221 W · 183 L | +17.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed RIZON | 52c | 35.18$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.79 | 415 | 37.1%154 W · 261 L | -26.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6617…29bdbacked eSports Cologne | 52c | 31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.12 | 91 | 33%30 W · 61 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed eSports Cologne | 50c | 30.35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 1,495 | 46.6%696 W · 799 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked RIZON | 57c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.75 | 122 | 39.3%48 W · 74 L | -13.5wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed RIZON | 57c | 23.95$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.33 | 275 | 46.2%127 W · 148 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: eSports Cologne vs RIZON (BO3) - VCL DACH: Evolution Group Stagethis page
- Valorant: eSports Cologne vs RIZON - Map 1 WinnereSports Cologne won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.