Fifa International · resolved market
Czechia vs. South Africa: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x26518ae8bdfa3575ae3aca7dbac21ce314fd7644de1b4ec928a784129f03bfaf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,729
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,501
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,729 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe6ee…b3aabacked Under | 59c | 776$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.84 | 230 | 46.5%107 W · 123 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a7…d3abbacked Over | 41c | 551.54$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.41 | 285 | 26.3%75 W · 210 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Over | 41c | 466.71$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.66 | 765 | 51.6%395 W · 370 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40bf…8bdcbacked Over | 42c | 360$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Under | 58c | 250.91$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.53 | 178 | 42.7%76 W · 102 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 28c | 231.86$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.12 | 1,559 | 52.4%817 W · 742 L | +97.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf79c…cb96backed Under | 59c | 200$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 920 | 38.5%354 W · 566 L | -21.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94e3…49b7backed Over | 65c | 199.99$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 93 | 66.7%62 W · 31 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46f9…9f14backed Over | 41c | 170.9$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.83 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb00c…4a39backed Under | 61c | 164.34$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddbf…99c2backed Under | 55c | 136$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.4 | 130 | 45.4%59 W · 71 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf555…b36bbacked Over | 43c | 105.23$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.23 | 88 | 46.6%41 W · 47 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 57c | 99.9$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.88 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2393…d54dbacked Over | 40c | 89$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.4 | 176 | 25%44 W · 132 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 59c | 88.98$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.14 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf348…e543backed Under | 55c | 80.03$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.78 | 401 | 63.3%254 W · 147 L | +57.7wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xf85b…48b9backed Over | 45c | 77.78$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.78 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21be…0b64backed Under | 60c | 66.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x055c…6a54backed Under | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 87 | 51.7%45 W · 42 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed Over | 39c | 41.88$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.55 | 617 | 52%321 W · 296 L | -13.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x039b…0863backed Under | 60c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Over | 41c | 25.37$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.87 | 315 | 50.8%160 W · 155 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Czechia vs. South Africa: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total Cornersthis page
- Czechia vs. South Africa: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
- Czechia vs. South Africa: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Czechia vs. South Africa: 2nd Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Czechia vs. South Africa: O/U 10.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Czechia vs. South Africa: O/U 11.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Czechia vs. South Africa: O/U 12.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Czechia vs. South Africa: O/U 6.5 Total CornersOver won
- Czechia vs. South Africa: O/U 7.5 Total CornersOver won
- Czechia vs. South Africa: O/U 8.5 Total CornersOver won
- Czechia vs. South Africa: O/U 9.5 Total CornersOver won
- Czechia vs. South Africa: South Africa O/U 2.5 CornersOver won
- Czechia vs. South Africa: South Africa O/U 3.5 CornersOver won
- Czechia vs. South Africa: South Africa O/U 4.5 CornersOver won
- Czechia vs. South Africa: Team to Take First CornerCzechia won
- Czechia vs. South Africa: Total Corners Odd or Even?Even won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.