South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Atlante FC win on 2026-07-24?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x265c26572810d695e0282afcb119d708a6d6af4c0c37cc6271500daef68c3b35
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $110,854
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $108,662
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $110,854 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Yes | 15c | 15,957$2,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,409.83 | 38 | 21.1%8 W · 30 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 16c | 9,703$1,534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,533.77 | 491 | 36.3%178 W · 313 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Yes | 14c | 6,905$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 313 | 49.8%156 W · 157 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Yes | 14c | 5,312$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768.33 | 237 | 33.8%80 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 15c | 3,583$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.44 | 1,447 | 45.9%664 W · 783 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x648f…fc85backed Yes | 7c | 1,150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.91 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 15c | 1,006$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.91 | 2,287 | 34.3%784 W · 1,503 L | -30.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 15c | 1,005$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.73 | 1,670 | 51.8%865 W · 805 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab7a…7d28backed Yes | 4c | 1,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 8c | 778.39$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 575 | 40.2%231 W · 344 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81e3…f2c9backed Yes | 18c | 650$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Yes | 10c | 627.15$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.01 | 268 | 35.1%94 W · 174 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 15c | 625$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.24 | 2,519 | 39%982 W · 1,537 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 16c | 586.25$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.4 | 1,442 | 37.6%542 W · 900 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x532b…dd2dbacked Yes | 9c | 479.99$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.36 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Yes | 12c | 424.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.68 | 646 | 33.1%214 W · 432 L | -24.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 6c | 400.47$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3f75…ce35backed Yes | 6c | 400$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Yes | 15c | 385.52$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.83 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8509…fd97backed Yes | 13c | 374.17$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.58 | 109 | 35.8%39 W · 70 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Yes | 11c | 369.21$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.61 | 331 | 52.6%174 W · 157 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Yes | 17c | 300$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.02 | 197 | 11.2%22 W · 175 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd09…8974backed Yes | 6c | 276.98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.51 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…0fa7backed Yes | 15c | 276$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.4 | 70 | 28.6%20 W · 50 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf77a…d17bbacked Yes | 17c | 235.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 14cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c2…73bfbacked Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 127 | 37%47 W · 80 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac8d…6f02backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f8…5de2backed Yes | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15cc…bfaabacked Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +73.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…d793backed Yes | 15c | 120$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 253 | 45.1%114 W · 139 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…28c5backed Yes | 16c | 93.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Yes | 15c | 88.07$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.21 | 156 | 51.9%81 W · 75 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d54…45ebbacked Yes | 17c | 67.22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.43 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.42per pick | 25cpaid | +179.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdd87…0debbacked No | 80c | 18.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Atlante FC win on 2026-07-24?this page
- Will Atlante FC vs. CF América end in a draw?Yes won
- Will CF América win on 2026-07-24?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.