Asian League · resolved market
NEOM SC vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x265c95b2c8de7aa21d5c48cc70015a3432bf0aa6784473374e0dceecca4dd67e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,061
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,671
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,061 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 51c | 1,272$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643.81 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…a331backed Over | 48c | 521.65$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.65 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 47c | 484.24$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.44 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Under | 72c | 400$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 107 | 38.3%41 W · 66 L | -13.1wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 57c | 314.98$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.98 | 99 | 58.6%58 W · 41 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9154…8f2dbacked Over | 42c | 250.13$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.08 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Over | 44c | 227.05$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.15 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bdf…56f5backed Over | 48c | 213.33$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.88 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Over | 55c | 188.3$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.73 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked Over | 56c | 188.3$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.51 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over | 55c | 160$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 55c | 100.13$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.07 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Over | 55c | 84$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f03…766dbacked Over | 56c | 58.74$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 47c | 51.17$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.06 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 39c | 50.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.95 | 770 | 56.2%433 W · 337 L | +40.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Over | 32c | 36.2$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.62 | 91 | 47.3%43 W · 48 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 64c | 27.7$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.73 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 52c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.98 | 626 | 52.6%329 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1941…c47fbacked Over | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- NEOM SC vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club: O/U 2.5this page
- NEOM SC vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Over won
- NEOM SC vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club: O/U 3.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.