Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Ludogorets beat FC Midtjylland?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x26626ce4c345c47fa0d193b7566d672bacc4e569d4ab51063114d1556d0b8000
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,368
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,424
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,368 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1417…26dabacked Yes | 15c | 249.33$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa64a…21dabacked Yes | 21c | 79.33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.78 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 32cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 63c | 52.11$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.28 | 330 | 55.2%182 W · 148 L | +21.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5036…416bbacked No | 64c | 51.22$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.44 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4385…254dbacked Yes | 35c | 36.72$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcee8…a64bbacked Yes | 36c | 34.79$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed4e…0b54backed No | 62c | 34.67$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.17 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +108.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1205…58fabacked Yes | 36c | 34.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76ac…ce43backed Yes | 37c | 33.56$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd009…c0c7backed No | 63c | 33.56$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +94.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Yes | 34c | 33.55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.41 | 182 | 44%80 W · 102 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89ab…c168backed Yes | 36c | 32.57$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed No | 62c | 31.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.92 | 147 | 56.5%83 W · 64 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc515…2179backed Yes | 35c | 31.06$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf63c…f299backed Yes | 38c | 28.12$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12cc…f314backed No | 63c | 27.39$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9138…8233backed Yes | 37c | 27.39$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0471…be46backed No | 61c | 26.93$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d67…4aebbacked No | 64c | 25.43$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf24…51f9backed No | 64c | 24.56$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.84 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x302c…01aebacked No | 65c | 23.53$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bc01backed No | 63c | 22.6$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…e3e4backed No | 66c | 21.39$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.27 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2507…3e53backed No | 65c | 19.09$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.68 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x553d…8282backed No | 65c | 18.88$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe78c…affebacked No | 64c | 18.73$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd2…e326backed No | 64c | 18.09$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.51 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0c…4fbfbacked No | 64c | 17.9$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5936…d71abacked No | 65c | 17.71$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x715a…2a06backed No | 65c | 16.29$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb42e…2299backed No | 65c | 15.81$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ludogorets beat FC Midtjylland?this page
- Will FC Midtjylland beat Ludogorets?Yes won
- Will the match between Ludogorets and FC Midtjylland end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.