Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Fairfield Stags vs. Marist Red Foxes
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2668c0bc9cc2a0dc6f686b91735adccaa2201b70bc1af9899844fb4c31b45ade
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Marist Red Foxesof Fairfield Stags, Marist Red Foxes
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,044
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,652
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,044 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Fairfield Stags | 23c | 6,000$1,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,360 | 397 | 44.8%178 W · 219 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Marist Red Foxes | 77c | 4,329$3,327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,001.87 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed Marist Red Foxes | 78c | 2,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 464 | 46.8%217 W · 247 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Fairfield Stags | 22c | 1,500$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 200 | 26%52 W · 148 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Marist Red Foxes | 78c | 1,337$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.17 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00e0…8a94backed Fairfield Stags | 6c | 1,200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 230 | 28.3%65 W · 165 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba2f…ffe7backed Fairfield Stags | 2c | 1,194$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Fairfield Stags | 19c | 1,148$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.85 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Marist Red Foxes | 79c | 872.83$687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.75 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x783c…6900backed Fairfield Stags | 24c | 694.25$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.62 | 137 | 35%48 W · 89 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe30e…4eedbacked Fairfield Stags | 7c | 471.43$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 85 | 18.8%16 W · 69 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Marist Red Foxes | 78c | 421.64$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.44 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Fairfield Stags | 23c | 372.83$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Fairfield Stags | 24c | 222.28$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.25 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec0…87f3backed Fairfield Stags | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0097…f101backed Fairfield Stags | 24c | 125$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6570…32ccbacked Fairfield Stags | 10c | 113.12$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Fairfield Stags | 14c | 71$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Fairfield Stags | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked Marist Red Foxes | 50c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 814 | 53.1%432 W · 382 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Fairfield Stags vs. Marist Red Foxesthis page
- Fairfield Stags vs. Marist Red Foxes: O/U 141.5Over won
- Fairfield Stags vs. Marist Red Foxes: O/U 142.5Over won
- Spread: Marist Red Foxes (-8.5)Marist Red Foxes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.