Tennis · resolved market
Ostrava Open, Qualification: Gabriela Knutson vs Vendula Valdmannova
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x26783b1a35f18879e3d8ae572827fbee29190d4baec3661d4e5d2da20398243e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Valdmannovaof Knutson, Valdmannova
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,499
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,799
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,499 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Knutson | 1c | 3,815$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.58 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Valdmannova | 79c | 2,854$2,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.36 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c2e…9e01backed Knutson | 24c | 1,520$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.09 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc9…f0b3backed Knutson | 15c | 1,322$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 151 | 17.9%27 W · 124 L | -9.8wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…2b3abacked Valdmannova | 69c | 575.83$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.83 | 503 | 64.6%325 W · 178 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Knutson | 33c | 334.57$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.94 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f19…ec51backed Knutson | 39c | 287$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.68 | 95 | 41.1%39 W · 56 L | -7.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -36%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Knutson | 33c | 227$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.48 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3fa…1105backed Valdmannova | 80c | 214.09$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Knutson | 54c | 197.85$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.69 | 348 | 42.2%147 W · 201 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…bf20backed Knutson | 32c | 197.74$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 94 | 25.5%24 W · 70 L | -5.9wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe077…5fe8backed Valdmannova | 69c | 185.16$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.62 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 69cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Valdmannova | 79c | 172.73$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.6 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1f…6500backed Knutson | 25c | 158$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.96 | 692 | 49.6%343 W · 349 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Valdmannova | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 733 | 50.9%373 W · 360 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc442…b7e5backed Knutson | 14c | 142.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Valdmannova | 72c | 140$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 470 | 57.2%269 W · 201 L | +16.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…b906backed Valdmannova | 72c | 106.25$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.75 | 1,026 | 46.8%480 W · 546 L | +14.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Valdmannova | 76c | 105$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.9 | 1,923 | 55.4%1,066 W · 857 L | -44.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf627…4bf7backed Valdmannova | 67c | 94.12$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.06 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Knutson | 58c | 68.52$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.54 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Knutson | 28c | 60$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.6 | 925 | 48.8%451 W · 474 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Knutson | 23c | 59.17$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.62 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Knutson | 25c | 50.88$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.57 | 314 | 34.4%108 W · 206 L | -25.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed Valdmannova | 74c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 161 | 44.7%72 W · 89 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Valdmannova | 74c | 38.63$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.09 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed Valdmannova | 77c | 36.82$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.48 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Knutson | 39c | 36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.07 | 656 | 47.6%312 W · 344 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6479…5e64backed Valdmannova | 69c | 24.25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.52 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Valdmannova | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 275 | 43.3%119 W · 156 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.