NHL · resolved market
Flames vs. Canucks: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x267ccd8ce33ccd27ae0cae5db9fb42fc696c30172d22e79432b067a58bcb76d8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,436
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,450
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,436 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 29c | 3,112$917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$916.63 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 43c | 2,117$911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,206.31 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a3…4ebebacked Over | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…b56bbacked Under | 57c | 1,308$746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745.78 | 140 | 65.7%92 W · 48 L | +13.9wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4762…ba70backed Under | 41c | 1,261$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.19 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0c3dbacked Under | 57c | 1,139$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649 | 148 | 48%71 W · 77 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Over | 43c | 903.46$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.97 | 874 | 47%411 W · 463 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 45c | 709.96$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.48 | 629 | 51.2%322 W · 307 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64b4…90c6backed Under | 56c | 617.22$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.14 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7dc…3cc7backed Under | 55c | 545.45$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 56c | 404.88$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.03 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked Over | 4c | 343.91$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.15 | 182 | 37.9%69 W · 113 L | +29.4wins | +0.16per pick | 22cpaid | +202.9%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 45c | 314$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.37 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a92…6c9fbacked Over | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Under | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 366 | 52.7%193 W · 173 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdce2…1150backed Under | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 45c | 186.2$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.79 | 318 | 51.9%165 W · 153 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a11…db4bbacked Under | 40c | 82.5$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 141 | 53.9%76 W · 65 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…5bd8backed Over | 42c | 57.13$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.13 | 102 | 62.7%64 W · 38 L | +13.1wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Over | 54c | 50.52$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.24 | 448 | 48.9%219 W · 229 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0be2…d514backed Over | 68c | 35$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.3 | 225 | 43.1%97 W · 128 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c55…9d52backed Under | 56c | 35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1299…21b1backed Under | 42c | 34.36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 56c | 33.33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.64 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 54c | 33$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.82 | 495 | 46.5%230 W · 265 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 46c | 29.04$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.21 | 1,140 | 51.5%587 W · 553 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Over | 64c | 29$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.44 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf275…7050backed Under | 53c | 21.95$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 85 | 68.2%58 W · 27 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Flames vs. Canucks: O/U 6.5this page
- Flames vs. CanucksFlames won
- Flames vs. Canucks: O/U 5.5Over won
- Spread: Canucks (-1.5)Flames won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.