Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Northern Kentucky Norse vs. Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x26a62c9a538bff8b3b4078d22276645ebbbba5c08e57acf175059c9c0979c871
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodonsof Northern Kentucky Norse, Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,913
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,809
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,913 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 12 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed Northern Kentucky Norse | 66c | 15,200$9,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,960.48 | 116 | 62.1%72 W · 44 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 41c | 5,870$2,406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,463 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 32c | 4,320$1,382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,937.25 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 24c | 4,182$1,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,176.43 | 279 | 55.2%154 W · 125 L | +22.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 34c | 1,535$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,016.64 | 231 | 58.9%136 W · 95 L | +23.5wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ab…ff0cbacked Northern Kentucky Norse | 61c | 977.6$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.7 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 63cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 54c | 248.12$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.93 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 32c | 200$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 44c | 110.46$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.13 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5204…1ca0backed Northern Kentucky Norse | 27c | 103.7$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -66%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x751a…9ea1backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 49c | 98.04$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 20 | 85%17 W · 3 L | +9.4wins | +0.47per pick | 38cpaid | +463.6%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x6a2d…d491backed Northern Kentucky Norse | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.