La Liga · resolved market
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol B vs. Granada CF end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x26a9c49fce5c326f4b967e26fff8a9a4708479b75f640b68ad9cc050e89d220b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,395
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,395 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed No | 69c | 5,000$3,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,550 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 31c | 5,000$1,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,550 | 142 | 44.4%63 W · 79 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Yes | 31c | 2,400$744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd71a…67f5backed No | 69c | 2,373$1,637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735.63 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Yes | 14c | 1,248$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.37 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4bba…cf14backed No | 70c | 1,021$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.65 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | -7.5wins | -0.17per pick | 69cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 378 | 29.4%111 W · 267 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 30c | 666.04$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.81 | 501 | 49.5%248 W · 253 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd983…d92dbacked Yes | 14c | 214.64$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +3.9wins | +0.14per pick | 28cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x287d…4867backed Yes | 9c | 214.29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad9…3cb4backed Yes | 32c | 110.94$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 68c | 110.94$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.5 | 342 | 52%178 W · 164 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 68c | 108$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.56 | 1,045 | 47.8%500 W · 545 L | +15.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 112 | 60.7%68 W · 44 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 30c | 75.86$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 1,577 | 51.4%811 W · 766 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 30c | 44.4$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 1,529 | 38.5%588 W · 941 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1e…945cbacked Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed No | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 71 | 70.4%50 W · 21 L | +6.9wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol B vs. Granada CF end in a draw?this page
- Will Granada CF win on 2026-03-22?Yes won
- Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol B win on 2026-03-22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.