La Liga · resolved market
Will Granada CF win on 2026-03-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa7343eed7361a9a0221937d2a11a99d103fb438a2a814eb08e76207f87e22460
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,114
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,114 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 74c | 2,637$1,949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.11 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 11c | 2,009$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.45 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 9c | 1,406$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.68 | 691 | 42.5%294 W · 397 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed No | 11c | 699.97$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 95 | 30.5%29 W · 66 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x660d…56acbacked Yes | 34c | 619.37$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.37 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf3d…fd74backed No | 67c | 594.54$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.34 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 5c | 452.91$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.09 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed No | 32c | 436.29$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.3 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 33c | 403.03$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.48 | 1,038 | 48.1%499 W · 539 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 66c | 268.29$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.03 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 31c | 253.89$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.15 | 501 | 49.5%248 W · 253 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 21c | 251.85$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.35 | 351 | 45.6%160 W · 191 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22af…399abacked No | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +8.1wins | +0.19per pick | 28cpaid | +65.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Yes | 31c | 133$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.77 | 351 | 48.4%170 W · 181 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 31c | 120$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.4 | 295 | 45.4%134 W · 161 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Yes | 29c | 89$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.19 | 89 | 38.2%34 W · 55 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Yes | 34c | 85.29$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.29 | 319 | 52.4%167 W · 152 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 71c | 82.24$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.39 | 697 | 50.8%354 W · 343 L | +3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 29c | 81.65$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.71 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked No | 22c | 68.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 180 | 62.2%112 W · 68 L | +8.6wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes | 34c | 63.61$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.25 | 170 | 32.9%56 W · 114 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 69c | 38.89$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.18 | 413 | 48.7%201 W · 212 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90df…a209backed No | 67c | 38.74$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.95 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -6.1wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 71c | 38.03$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.13 | 411 | 47.9%197 W · 214 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e72…54f0backed No | 67c | 37.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 33c | 32.55$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.81 | 890 | 50%445 W · 445 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 78c | 28.89$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04b4…8d0bbacked No | 65c | 28.07$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x57a6…44edbacked No | 68c | 21.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.78 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60e8…50c2backed Yes | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked No | 67c | 16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.72 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49a9…ea7ebacked No | 71c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Granada CF win on 2026-03-22?this page
- Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol B vs. Granada CF end in a draw?No won
- Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol B win on 2026-03-22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.