Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Belmont Bruins vs. Southern Illinois Salukis
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x26b417fa3954478d5342b3e0250647734e09e770363a5349eca2e39601a8eb8c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Belmont Bruinsof Belmont Bruins, Southern Illinois Salukis
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,895
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,579
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,895 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x40e2…b0a7backed Belmont Bruins | 61c | 2,911$1,783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,127.77 | 79 | 65.8%52 W · 27 L | +8.9wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Southern Illinois Salukis | 54c | 2,405$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300.2 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Belmont Bruins | 59c | 1,468$868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.21 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Southern Illinois Salukis | 22c | 1,464$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.66 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Southern Illinois Salukis | 31c | 1,247$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.87 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Belmont Bruins | 49c | 1,165$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.12 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Southern Illinois Salukis | 48c | 1,138$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.89 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd40b…429abacked Belmont Bruins | 39c | 352.18$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.21 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x788d…99bbbacked Belmont Bruins | 56c | 308$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.83 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +4.2wins | +0.22per pick | 25cpaid | +120.6%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Southern Illinois Salukis | 25c | 296.13$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.35 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Southern Illinois Salukis | 35c | 286.47$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.47 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Southern Illinois Salukis | 39c | 263.19$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.64 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Southern Illinois Salukis | 55c | 250$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.5 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Southern Illinois Salukis | 31c | 246.18$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.21 | 368 | 45.7%168 W · 200 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Southern Illinois Salukis | 27c | 244.42$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.69 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed Belmont Bruins | 45c | 207.98$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.64 | 464 | 46.8%217 W · 247 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Belmont Bruins | 61c | 199.26$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.71 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Southern Illinois Salukis | 53c | 173$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.69 | 722 | 48.8%352 W · 370 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Belmont Bruins | 76c | 140.1$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.99 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Southern Illinois Salukis | 31c | 117$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.8 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Belmont Bruins | 49c | 72.34$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.63 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Belmont Bruins | 57c | 51.75$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.25 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Southern Illinois Salukis | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xded3…b470backed Southern Illinois Salukis | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Belmont Bruins | 44c | 31.24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.49 | 480 | 51%245 W · 235 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x239b…f8bfbacked Belmont Bruins | 56c | 26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.35 | 316 | 66.1%209 W · 107 L | +24.8wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc995…3053backed Belmont Bruins | 67c | 21.97$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Belmont Bruins | 71c | 15.62$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.53 | 190 | 55.3%105 W · 85 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Belmont Bruins vs. Southern Illinois Salukisthis page
- Belmont Bruins vs. Southern Illinois Salukis: O/U 152.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.