Australian A League · resolved market
Will Brisbane Roar FC win on 2025-11-09?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x26d926b4a7d09c900240d3523227f82b5f8d5fc22a31c97e4e1a144e22761403
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,160
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,406
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,160 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 42c | 20,000$8,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,599.98 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 58c | 10,293$5,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,979.86 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed No | 58c | 10,216$5,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,925.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0a…d070backed Yes | 68c | 3,000$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed No | 32c | 1,753$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.06 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 32c | 1,050$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 228 | 52.2%119 W · 109 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd1…4ea6backed Yes | 79c | 762.03$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 22c | 495.58$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.12 | 334 | 44%147 W · 187 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 40c | 380.37$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.86 | 300 | 55.3%166 W · 134 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed No | 30c | 302.62$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.78 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bd…df80backed Yes | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.16 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed No | 62c | 263.16$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.16 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed No | 31c | 250$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.06 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 73c | 210$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.64 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x646c…3210backed No | 75c | 205.33$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe657…cf98backed Yes | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 31c | 196.14$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.33 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6b8…3539backed Yes | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 71c | 70$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 121 | 56.2%68 W · 53 L | +9.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…6d58backed Yes | 44c | 40.91$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.91 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed No | 59c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.34 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed No | 59c | 33.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.61 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78d5…8763backed Yes | 65c | 30.54$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd43f…c151backed Yes | 70c | 28.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Brisbane Roar FC win on 2025-11-09?this page
- Will Brisbane Roar FC vs. Newcastle United Jets FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Newcastle United Jets FC win on 2025-11-09?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.