South American Leagues · resolved market
São Paulo FC vs. Grêmio FBPA: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x26da0b0399ff580c6eba3b9be753a663228cbca483ef90ac3c94abee3aa7cd93
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,708
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,717
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,708 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 48c | 825$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.22 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 54c | 564.53$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.53 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 53c | 479.26$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.48 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06a0…5804backed Yes | 57c | 438.6$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Yes | 52c | 382.69$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199 | 167 | 47.9%80 W · 87 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…b56bbacked Yes | 51c | 294.12$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 29c | 202.31$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 391 | 27.1%106 W · 285 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3d…189dbacked Yes | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 465 | 30.3%141 W · 324 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2961…cfcfbacked Yes | 51c | 64.1$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1045…06c8backed Yes | 51c | 60.51$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9750…7956backed No | 76c | 60$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 76cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 49c | 57.58$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.46 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked No | 50c | 51.63$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.83 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | -7.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…ee5abacked Yes | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 48c | 46$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.71 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…4d6ebacked Yes | 47c | 45.83$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.54 | 133 | 35.3%47 W · 86 L | -14.9wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…7b3fbacked Yes | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 96 | 54.2%52 W · 44 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.88 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d54…81a1backed Yes | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 110 | 36.4%40 W · 70 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes | 56c | 32.14$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 302 | 31.1%94 W · 208 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b34…ffc3backed No | 48c | 26.13$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.59 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb371…5faebacked Yes | 54c | 25.93$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 48c | 24.07$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.61 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…568abacked Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- São Paulo FC vs. Grêmio FBPA: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- São Paulo FC vs. Grêmio FBPA: O/U 1.5Over won
- São Paulo FC vs. Grêmio FBPA: O/U 2.5Under won
- São Paulo FC vs. Grêmio FBPA: O/U 3.5Under won
- São Paulo FC vs. Grêmio FBPA: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.