Serie A · resolved market
ACF Fiorentina vs. Hellas Verona FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x26ea57324c67f937012f0d3615ce6c4977def41dda03c597145457a1b73a4e75
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,431
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,912
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,431 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x85df…9124backed No | 3c | 2,900$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 7cpaid | +28%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed No | 18c | 1,168$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.41 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 50c | 902.24$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.67 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba4…c08bbacked Yes | 48c | 630$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.6 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 52c | 620.83$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.83 | 592 | 40.7%241 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa0…fbbdbacked No | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x106b…4e8bbacked Yes | 48c | 489.13$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.35 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed No | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 314 | 41.4%130 W · 184 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…91a4backed No | 53c | 194$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.82 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15ac…f3babacked Yes | 79c | 176.58$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.08 | 30 | 80%24 W · 6 L | +6.1wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4130…a35bbacked Yes | 47c | 101$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.53 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 289 | 31.8%92 W · 197 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2076…bf0dbacked Yes | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72a9…05ddbacked No | 54c | 87.04$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.9wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…8392backed Yes | 33c | 86$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.62 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aff…c91bbacked Yes | 47c | 83$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.99 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x205b…d66abacked Yes | 79c | 80$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f1b…380ebacked Yes | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x143d…5bc4backed Yes | 47c | 64$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.92 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8204…61d9backed Yes | 47c | 46$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.38 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83d7…f2d1backed Yes | 47c | 45$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.85 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6191…e505backed No | 53c | 45$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.85 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -4.0wins | -0.44per pick | 56cpaid | -78.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed No | 53c | 43.76$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.19 | 155 | 50.3%78 W · 77 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d00…a6f3backed Yes | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c67…21eebacked Yes | 49c | 40.16$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.59 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d54…81a1backed Yes | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 43c | 36.84$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Yes | 57c | 36.84$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.84 | 345 | 53.9%186 W · 159 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b43…fae9backed Yes | 47c | 35.85$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.85 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…2f86backed Yes | 47c | 33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.49 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf447…3fe7backed No | 53c | 32$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.96 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f96…92e0backed No | 53c | 29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.37 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -37%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- ACF Fiorentina vs. Hellas Verona FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- ACF Fiorentina vs. Hellas Verona FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- ACF Fiorentina vs. Hellas Verona FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- ACF Fiorentina vs. Hellas Verona FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: ACF Fiorentina (-1.5)Hellas Verona FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.