Other European Leagues · resolved market
Spread: Djurgardens IF (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x270551881a737fb103f7cab8a076801acc1d757f8d44e1a9d01fc0d4536c36a2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Djurgardens IFof Djurgardens IF, Malmo FF
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,193
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,213
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,193 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 9 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Malmo FF | 11c | 525$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.75 | 501 | 46.1%231 W · 270 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Malmo FF | 72c | 357.14$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.14 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Djurgardens IF | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.14 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Djurgardens IF | 44c | 95.26$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.32 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Djurgardens IF | 40c | 42$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1bec…8d52backed Malmo FF | 27c | 39$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Djurgardens IF | 65c | 35.68$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.62 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Malmo FF | 60c | 22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 323 | 50.2%162 W · 161 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Malmo FF | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 381 | 47.5%181 W · 200 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Djurgardens IF (-1.5)this page
- Malmo FF vs. Djurgardens IF: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Malmo FF vs. Djurgardens IF: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Malmo FF vs. Djurgardens IF: Malmo FF 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Malmo FF vs. Djurgardens IF: Malmo FF O/U 1.5Under won
- Malmo FF vs. Djurgardens IF: O/U 1.5Over won
- Malmo FF vs. Djurgardens IF: O/U 2.5Over won
- Malmo FF vs. Djurgardens IF: O/U 3.5Under won
- Malmo FF vs. Djurgardens IF: O/U 4.5Under won
- Malmo FF vs. Djurgardens IF: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Malmo FF (-1.5)Djurgardens IF won
- Spread: Malmo FF (-2.5)Djurgardens IF won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.