Other European Leagues · resolved market
Malmo FF vs. Djurgardens IF: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1f346376570993b551dccbfb2a066d8c66f2b160aa1bcec82b8fee8ac16a9765
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,480
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,624
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,480 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2970…e1c9backed Under | 40c | 3,660$1,464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,464 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 60c | 3,047$1,827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,219.74 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 40c | 2,176$877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$877.49 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 40c | 1,994$802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$801.62 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 60c | 1,503$902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.02 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 47c | 1,109$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.8 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 51c | 993.64$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.87 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad0b…a514backed Over | 52c | 799.98$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.99 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 40c | 760.83$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.85 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 60c | 461.76$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.03 | 734 | 40.1%294 W · 440 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2983…4eb2backed Under | 47c | 423.35$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x800a…0b4dbacked Over | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 112 | 37.5%42 W · 70 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3824…e756backed Under | 48c | 406.29$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.02 | 80 | 61.3%49 W · 31 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 60c | 400.17$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.07 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6779…2ff6backed Over | 62c | 389.41$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fc…2715backed Over | 49c | 268.22$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.79 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…3050backed Over | 61c | 241.48$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.18 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bec…8d52backed Over | 45c | 230.97$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.23 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x383f…5631backed Over | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07e8…faaebacked Over | 51c | 186.12$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.2 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Over | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 327 | 39.4%129 W · 198 L | -22.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ab…0dc8backed Over | 59c | 152.54$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.54 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8db6…8679backed Over | 60c | 150$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 60c | 149.39$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.46 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 57c | 146$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.99 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 52c | 109.99$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.54 | 437 | 21.7%95 W · 342 L | -49.3wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Over | 60c | 78.66$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.46 | 118 | 37.3%44 W · 74 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2827…4ee7backed Over | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.47 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 38cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 51c | 74.75$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.6 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7403…b24abacked Under | 45c | 69.89$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.45 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -8.4wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x69d2…a218backed Over | 59c | 50.84$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 266 | 53.4%142 W · 124 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 43c | 42.41$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 197 | 29.9%59 W · 138 L | -21.8wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 61c | 40.96$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.97 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdf…b8a0backed Over | 59c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -4.1wins | -0.32per pick | 62cpaid | -53%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5266…aac8backed Over | 62c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd819…2d80backed Over | 60c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Under | 51c | 39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 244 | 66%161 W · 83 L | +15.8wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Under | 39c | 34$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | -7.9wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d9…1059backed Over | 61c | 33.16$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.03 | 87 | 58.6%51 W · 36 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 41c | 33.08$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.56 | 398 | 52.5%209 W · 189 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfda7…d488backed Over | 59c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +78.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x056b…5a03backed Under | 38c | 28.58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 91 | 26.4%24 W · 67 L | -10.2wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x252e…7f53backed Over | 50c | 27.16$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.58 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +128.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x545d…70ffbacked Under | 42c | 25.07$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f53…d5abbacked Over | 61c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Malmo FF vs. Djurgardens IF: O/U 2.5this page
- Malmo FF vs. Djurgardens IF: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Malmo FF vs. Djurgardens IF: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Malmo FF vs. Djurgardens IF: Malmo FF 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Malmo FF vs. Djurgardens IF: Malmo FF O/U 1.5Under won
- Malmo FF vs. Djurgardens IF: O/U 1.5Over won
- Malmo FF vs. Djurgardens IF: O/U 3.5Under won
- Malmo FF vs. Djurgardens IF: O/U 4.5Under won
- Malmo FF vs. Djurgardens IF: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Djurgardens IF (-1.5)Djurgardens IF won
- Spread: Malmo FF (-1.5)Djurgardens IF won
- Spread: Malmo FF (-2.5)Djurgardens IF won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.