Other European Leagues · resolved market
Malmo FF vs. Djurgardens IF: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xce3d1e6f1c061a5605bd635b7a69389d6e32e2330ef6823833f309f3b6621ce0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,639
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,076
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,639 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 25c | 4,235$1,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,058.25 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 69c | 3,671$2,535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,135.85 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 72c | 2,921$2,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$813.76 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 37c | 2,010$744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$743.66 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Over | 38c | 657$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.66 | 324 | 36.4%118 W · 206 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Over | 37c | 527.97$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.35 | 74 | 70.3%52 W · 22 L | +14.0wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 9c | 406.24$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.3 | 219 | 53.4%117 W · 102 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc1…eebebacked Over | 22c | 355.78$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.03 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 15c | 219.96$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.99 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 37c | 203.76$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.94 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdeda…8e35backed Under | 67c | 180.73$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.74 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +3.9wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +27%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8a…24c2backed Over | 39c | 154$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.06 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Over | 33c | 131.76$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.13 | 143 | 32.2%46 W · 97 L | -12.9wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 26c | 119.18$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.35 | 437 | 21.7%95 W · 342 L | -49.3wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb904…3ef8backed Under | 68c | 109.16$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.93 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +3.6wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 77c | 77.12$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.85 | 197 | 29.9%59 W · 138 L | -21.8wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1bec…8d52backed Over | 26c | 65.39$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.99 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Over | 37c | 65.04$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.06 | 241 | 46.9%113 W · 128 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b04…403fbacked Over | 37c | 42.22$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.62 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +4.5wins | +0.20per pick | 54cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 65c | 38.12$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.16 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 74c | 33.14$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.65 | 351 | 63.5%223 W · 128 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Under | 79c | 28$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.88 | 244 | 66%161 W · 83 L | +15.8wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd97…ae50backed Under | 68c | 21.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 41 | 78%32 W · 9 L | +4.9wins | +0.12per pick | 66cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Malmo FF vs. Djurgardens IF: O/U 3.5this page
- Malmo FF vs. Djurgardens IF: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Malmo FF vs. Djurgardens IF: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Malmo FF vs. Djurgardens IF: Malmo FF 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Malmo FF vs. Djurgardens IF: Malmo FF O/U 1.5Under won
- Malmo FF vs. Djurgardens IF: O/U 1.5Over won
- Malmo FF vs. Djurgardens IF: O/U 2.5Over won
- Malmo FF vs. Djurgardens IF: O/U 4.5Under won
- Malmo FF vs. Djurgardens IF: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Djurgardens IF (-1.5)Djurgardens IF won
- Spread: Malmo FF (-1.5)Djurgardens IF won
- Spread: Malmo FF (-2.5)Djurgardens IF won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.