CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: AaB esport vs MASONIC (BO1) - Parken Challenger Championship Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x27075e25edaea3389381880fb177d216460bee51e5cfb043aca058a24fe2ca35
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- AaB esportof AaB esport, MASONIC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,119
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,119 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xacc4…df93backed MASONIC | 1c | 5,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf05c…66b9backed MASONIC | 1c | 3,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 30 | 0%0 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd607…6ddcbacked MASONIC | 1c | 1,800$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | +3.8wins | +0.17per pick | 5cpaid | +194.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x506b…3f70backed AaB esport | 51c | 1,695$862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$833.21 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed MASONIC | 44c | 1,082$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.67 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed MASONIC | 51c | 940.25$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.39 | 807 | 44.6%360 W · 447 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked AaB esport | 57c | 799.16$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.98 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked MASONIC | 40c | 762.75$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.68 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x861f…a189backed AaB esport | 71c | 599.99$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174 | 921 | 52.6%484 W · 437 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked MASONIC | 53c | 426.07$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.6 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed AaB esport | 43c | 418$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.12 | 655 | 46.9%307 W · 348 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed AaB esport | 55c | 393.08$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.01 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd02a…aa03backed AaB esport | 51c | 213.77$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +94.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17db…9c40backed MASONIC | 48c | 206.65$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked AaB esport | 64c | 192.61$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.55 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2f…a15fbacked MASONIC | 52c | 178.21$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.54 | 190 | 55.8%106 W · 84 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbcf2…1e5bbacked MASONIC | 49c | 164.69$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.11 | 238 | 58%138 W · 100 L | +13.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1e7…174fbacked MASONIC | 59c | 120.34$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed AaB esport | 67c | 118.9$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.17 | 958 | 49.8%477 W · 481 L | -17.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed MASONIC | 14c | 101.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked MASONIC | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 916 | 48.9%448 W · 468 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked MASONIC | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 719 | 51%367 W · 352 L | +28.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked AaB esport | 58c | 99.15$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.15 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb968…3930backed AaB esport | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +35%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8945…640bbacked MASONIC | 41c | 95.69$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.49 | 262 | 57.6%151 W · 111 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…ffa9backed MASONIC | 32c | 70.44$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.54 | 432 | 39.1%169 W · 263 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked MASONIC | 57c | 70$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.9 | 1,352 | 52%703 W · 649 L | +29.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed AaB esport | 45c | 68.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.91 | 178 | 36.5%65 W · 113 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd966…40ddbacked AaB esport | 71c | 58$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.82 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -39%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x931c…bf4bbacked MASONIC | 37c | 46.62$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.12 | 323 | 51.4%166 W · 157 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed AaB esport | 52c | 38.6$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.67 | 291 | 28.5%83 W · 208 L | -30.2wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5ca6…3841backed AaB esport | 57c | 35.81$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.55 | 112 | 41.1%46 W · 66 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37d7…f131backed MASONIC | 36c | 31.91$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 334 | 51.5%172 W · 162 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked MASONIC | 47c | 31.89$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 700 | 36.1%253 W · 447 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9d…2269backed AaB esport | 43c | 25.52$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.6 | 157 | 65%102 W · 55 L | +15.6wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked AaB esport | 53c | 23.54$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.12 | 295 | 47.8%141 W · 154 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6436…aa37backed AaB esport | 56c | 20.83$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.17 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe79c…bdcebacked MASONIC | 62c | 20.82$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.91 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bbb…2948backed AaB esport | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 170 | 70%119 W · 51 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.