CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs megoshort - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2717e2c99003e080af7b62508fa2a0308dbdba739902b0b6a483a87f4e56da58
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- megoshortof AM Gaming, megoshort
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,275
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,763
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,275 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked megoshort | 11c | 412.79$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.55 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa72a…5685backed megoshort | 15c | 390.05$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.54 | 312 | 41.3%129 W · 183 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed megoshort | 18c | 371$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.88 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507c…6c0cbacked megoshort | 13c | 337$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.82 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8847…fc98backed megoshort | 23c | 330.29$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.32 | 248 | 40.7%101 W · 147 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked megoshort | 15c | 315.12$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.7 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb209…b744backed megoshort | 12c | 300$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264 | 293 | 40.6%119 W · 174 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked megoshort | 15c | 278$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.86 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed megoshort | 18c | 273.55$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.31 | 655 | 46.9%307 W · 348 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeebb…0b96backed megoshort | 23c | 252.17$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.17 | 358 | 39.4%141 W · 217 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x524f…2642backed megoshort | 23c | 230.91$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.91 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb57f…0c96backed megoshort | 23c | 202.87$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.21 | 215 | 45.6%98 W · 117 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…511ebacked megoshort | 22c | 185$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.3 | 388 | 44.3%172 W · 216 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed megoshort | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.67 | 1,319 | 44.2%583 W · 736 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc59f…954ebacked megoshort | 13c | 149.51$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.82 | 216 | 53.2%115 W · 101 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x443c…d83abacked megoshort | 15c | 125$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.25 | 170 | 55.3%94 W · 76 L | +11.3wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed megoshort | 22c | 95$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.1 | 482 | 40%193 W · 289 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed megoshort | 12c | 94.27$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.23 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9b…cbe5backed megoshort | 15c | 93.33$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.33 | 442 | 44.1%195 W · 247 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked megoshort | 15c | 87$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.95 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3724…c59abacked megoshort | 18c | 71.03$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.43 | 97 | 32%31 W · 66 L | -8.8wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x91f8…71e0backed megoshort | 23c | 45.65$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.15 | 187 | 47.1%88 W · 99 L | +14.5wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed megoshort | 55c | 37.34$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs megoshort - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs megoshort (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #2 Group StageAM Gaming won
- Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs megoshort - Map 1 WinnerAM Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: AM (-1.5) vs megoshort (+1.5)megoshort won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.