Tennis · resolved market
ITF Sapporo: Yui Ohwaki vs Stefani Webb
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x27238b49fabe8e724c306e238b38ae2d963133c3f917dffebb858e13d6a775a5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yui Ohwakiof Yui Ohwaki, Stefani Webb
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,383
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,385
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,383 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7002…395cbacked Yui Ohwaki | 51c | 1,038$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.36 | 222 | 52.7%117 W · 105 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Stefani Webb | 48c | 423$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.04 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf9…8292backed Stefani Webb | 76c | 256.7$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.09 | 588 | 57.7%339 W · 249 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Stefani Webb | 49c | 256$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.44 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Yui Ohwaki | 27c | 253.36$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.8 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Yui Ohwaki | 24c | 249.97$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.98 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Stefani Webb | 41c | 150.49$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.99 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed Yui Ohwaki | 26c | 145.72$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.83 | 1,103 | 52.9%583 W · 520 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ba…6c27backed Stefani Webb | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,186 | 62.8%745 W · 441 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Stefani Webb | 48c | 118.32$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.65 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Stefani Webb | 72c | 115$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.8 | 1,822 | 41%747 W · 1,075 L | -30.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabd9…1f88backed Yui Ohwaki | 55c | 96.85$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.4 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Yui Ohwaki | 24c | 78.96$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.01 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Stefani Webb | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Stefani Webb | 44c | 44.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 743 | 46.3%344 W · 399 L | -28.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Yui Ohwaki | 26c | 39$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.86 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd436…18a9backed Stefani Webb | 67c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 125 | 50.4%63 W · 62 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f3…d6dcbacked Yui Ohwaki | 42c | 29.84$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.25 | 870 | 60.2%524 W · 346 L | +28.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Stefani Webb | 76c | 29.16$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.14 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked Stefani Webb | 79c | 23.63$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.58 | 403 | 50.6%204 W · 199 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a9…3a77backed Stefani Webb | 76c | 15.54$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.81 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Stefani Webb | 74c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.07 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0645…c08ebacked Stefani Webb | 76c | 14.63$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.12 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 67cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.