Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
North Dakota Fighting Hawks vs. North Dakota State Bison
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2791594a4cff922e98b846ab7c6e71b7f37dcddf9b8026c03dc8158c000ffa81
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- North Dakota State Bisonof North Dakota Fighting Hawks, North Dakota State Bison
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $61,474
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,474 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 15c | 26,590$4,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,054.37 | 896 | 45.9%411 W · 485 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84dc…008ebacked North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 15c | 6,050$931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$931.47 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 14c | 1,970$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.63 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 17c | 1,500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 12c | 1,096$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.71 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 6c | 1,052$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.83 | 815 | 28.8%235 W · 580 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 3c | 797.48$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.2 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 6c | 793.65$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.66 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 6c | 676.06$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.18 | 318 | 37.7%120 W · 198 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…dd9fbacked North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 7c | 603.78$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.7 | 42 | 21.4%9 W · 33 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -38%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68a9…e73abacked North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 17c | 585.1$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.47 | 267 | 49.1%131 W · 136 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 14c | 357.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 828 | 46.1%382 W · 446 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 12c | 290.95$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 429 | 34.3%147 W · 282 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d3…bd58backed North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 20c | 257.45$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.49 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 18c | 226.84$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.01 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 5c | 201.47$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 17c | 199.01$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.83 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb691…b39dbacked North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 15c | 148.62$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.62 | 57 | 63.2%36 W · 21 L | +7.1wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9195…6813backed North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 16c | 136.85$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53c5…cb95backed North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 18c | 132.16$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.1 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 13c | 129.01$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.76 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce66…59c4backed North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 16c | 124.87$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf43c…d7c3backed North Dakota State Bison | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 491 | 57.2%281 W · 210 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 18c | 88.11$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.44 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 19c | 84.12$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.62 | 309 | 45.6%141 W · 168 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbac2…b2c5backed North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 16c | 66.17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 25c | 64.57$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.29 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- North Dakota Fighting Hawks vs. North Dakota State Bisonthis page
- North Dakota Fighting Hawks vs. North Dakota State Bison: O/U 144.5Under won
- North Dakota Fighting Hawks vs. North Dakota State Bison: O/U 145.5Under won
- Spread: North Dakota State Bison (-10.5)North Dakota Fighting Hawks won
- Spread: North Dakota State Bison (-11.5)North Dakota Fighting Hawks won
- Spread: North Dakota State Bison (-9.5)North Dakota Fighting Hawks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.