Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Riyadh Saudi Club win on 2026-03-13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x279740af067a00a1093f14f57ed8938eb68d02e0515c3428d4b73d1954d520fe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,101
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,686
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,101 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcf24…15ecbacked No | 31c | 2,269$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703.37 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -50%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 19c | 1,540$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,253.38 | 487 | 68%331 W · 156 L | +69.2wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 69c | 1,507$1,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.49 | 396 | 55.8%221 W · 175 L | +31.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed No | 72c | 1,069$767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$767.43 | 201 | 32.3%65 W · 136 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0234…68a2backed Yes | 8c | 967.42$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$888.81 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +221.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 16c | 954.93$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$798.66 | 623 | 49.1%306 W · 317 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 11c | 933.23$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$829.75 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 68c | 612.66$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.73 | 141 | 53.2%75 W · 66 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes | 16c | 598$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.18 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 63c | 569.66$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.55 | 626 | 52.6%329 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Yes | 16c | 429.5$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.03 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +360.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 18c | 313.94$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.06 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x046f…62b3backed Yes | 21c | 284.81$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.79per pick | 21cpaid | +376.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c95…467cbacked No | 79c | 284.81$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Yes | 19c | 263.16$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.16 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 17c | 260.68$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.36 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked No | 8c | 255.38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.43 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Yes | 18c | 251.43$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.28 | 214 | 49.1%105 W · 109 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 12c | 217.81$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.53 | 294 | 25.2%74 W · 220 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 17c | 211$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.02 | 124 | 49.2%61 W · 63 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc59f…f632backed Yes | 17c | 188.76$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.67 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Yes | 64c | 181.23$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.4 | 133 | 49.6%66 W · 67 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes | 8c | 176$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.64 | 136 | 41.9%57 W · 79 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa5…01b3backed Yes | 16c | 156.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6330…1444backed Yes | 17c | 134.9$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.97 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 38c | 117.98$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.94 | 770 | 56.2%433 W · 337 L | +40.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 12c | 113.36$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.48 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 17c | 100.29$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.24 | 299 | 17.4%52 W · 247 L | -13.0wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb06…4ababacked Yes | 70c | 95.74$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.92 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec7…1e38backed No | 13c | 86$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Yes | 15c | 77$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.45 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +71.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x030d…8e95backed Yes | 69c | 76.19$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.62 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Yes | 19c | 74.26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.15 | 125 | 51.2%64 W · 61 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa209…d90ebacked Yes | 69c | 69.93$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.68 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed No | 54c | 69.45$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.51 | 104 | 36.5%38 W · 66 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc26f…574bbacked Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.84per pick | 16cpaid | +525%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 70c | 57.55$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.54 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Yes | 44c | 57.22$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.14 | 84 | 48.8%41 W · 43 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked No | 40c | 49.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 64c | 44.09$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.03 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94fc…1fb8backed Yes | 69c | 36.6$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceb7…391ebacked Yes | 63c | 32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 45 | 73.3%33 W · 12 L | +7.3wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Yes | 65c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 69cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd37…e117backed Yes | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b96…cdb4backed Yes | 74c | 25.66$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcbb…68fabacked Yes | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f6f…2715backed Yes | 73c | 22.02$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.92 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa427…f87fbacked Yes | 69c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.58 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 59cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa08…128fbacked Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Riyadh Saudi Club win on 2026-03-13?this page
- Will Al Ittihad Saudi Club win on 2026-03-13?No won
- Will Al Riyadh Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.