Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Riyadh Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4853e7ad80e9d45003c738540260b02dc3441c8ca41c1c8ca52198f285d5ef79
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,747
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,747 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4c7a…7101backed Yes | 21c | 3,188$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +67.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 19c | 1,817$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.25 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed No | 79c | 1,385$1,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.41 | 201 | 32.3%65 W · 136 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 35c | 1,267$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.34 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 69c | 797.17$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.78 | 626 | 52.6%329 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d39…a4fbbacked No | 60c | 624.98$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.99 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +104.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Yes | 17c | 571$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.83 | 119 | 31.9%38 W · 81 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 78c | 331.14$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.18 | 1,306 | 56.9%743 W · 563 L | +67.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 20c | 294.6$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.02 | 1,760 | 50.3%885 W · 875 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 31c | 265.29$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.55 | 294 | 25.2%74 W · 220 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4440…f8fdbacked Yes | 20c | 230$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.26per pick | 44cpaid | -62%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 66c | 222.48$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.74 | 490 | 44.3%217 W · 273 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…90f8backed Yes | 17c | 205.88$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 78c | 196.35$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.19 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c89…526abacked Yes | 29c | 171.8$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 38cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc85f…15f8backed Yes | 51c | 170$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.76 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No | 76c | 157.15$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.54 | 133 | 49.6%66 W · 67 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0632…d1b7backed Yes | 25c | 156.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 19c | 149.41$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.34 | 299 | 17.4%52 W · 247 L | -13.0wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 18c | 142.05$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.51 | 2,397 | 37.8%905 W · 1,492 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 33c | 136.78$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.82 | 5,910 | 46.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L | +50.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 72c | 100.58$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.79 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Yes | 35c | 94.04$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.69 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 80c | 88$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.04 | 720 | 44.2%318 W · 402 L | -28.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6330…1444backed Yes | 36c | 61.16$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.04 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec7…1e38backed No | 74c | 54.05$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc62e…108dbacked No | 74c | 51.84$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.59 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 80c | 42.5$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1775…e3c0backed Yes | 30c | 34$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked No | 74c | 27.86$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.24 | 71 | 70.4%50 W · 21 L | +11.0wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +28%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 50c | 27.53$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.66 | 1,022 | 41.5%424 W · 598 L | -33.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked No | 78c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb07f…f2fdbacked No | 79c | 20.67$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Yes | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 69cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed No | 74c | 17.33$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.51 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 67 | 86.6%58 W · 9 L | +6.7wins | +0.10per pick | 77cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Riyadh Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club end in a draw?this page
- Will Al Ittihad Saudi Club win on 2026-03-13?No won
- Will Al Riyadh Saudi Club win on 2026-03-13?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.