Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Purdue Boilermakers (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x27c737738869f3b950ba463a08f3fa6d0f44bdafca86d63f806c8936f8d6978c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- UCLA Bruinsof Purdue Boilermakers, UCLA Bruins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,877
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,922
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,877 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x617b…a499backed Purdue Boilermakers | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 244 | 51.2%125 W · 119 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed UCLA Bruins | 50c | 580$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 794 | 48.9%388 W · 406 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Purdue Boilermakers | 28c | 471.47$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.44 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae84…fd9dbacked UCLA Bruins | 50c | 406$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Purdue Boilermakers | 50c | 392.77$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.68 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa097…fba7backed Purdue Boilermakers | 53c | 300$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 91 | 48.4%44 W · 47 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked UCLA Bruins | 61c | 228.51$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.47 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed UCLA Bruins | 50c | 220$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 658 | 25.7%169 W · 489 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed UCLA Bruins | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 1,070 | 46.9%502 W · 568 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf10b…2041backed UCLA Bruins | 50c | 160$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed UCLA Bruins | 51c | 147.97$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.97 | 162 | 53.1%86 W · 76 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4855…6a41backed Purdue Boilermakers | 52c | 61.56$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.01 | 326 | 52.8%172 W · 154 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed UCLA Bruins | 48c | 61.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.01 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed UCLA Bruins | 68c | 58.26$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.41 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed UCLA Bruins | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 254 | 36.6%93 W · 161 L | -13.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Purdue Boilermakers | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 1,162 | 55.2%641 W · 521 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83fb…e89bbacked Purdue Boilermakers | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 169 | 52.7%89 W · 80 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98df…41b7backed UCLA Bruins | 48c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Purdue Boilermakers | 51c | 23.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.83 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Purdue Boilermakers (-5.5)this page
- Purdue Boilermakers vs. UCLA BruinsUCLA Bruins won
- Purdue Boilermakers vs. UCLA Bruins: O/U 146.5Under won
- Purdue Boilermakers vs. UCLA Bruins: O/U 147.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.