Tennis · resolved market
Set 1 Winner: Shapovalov vs Zandschulp
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x27e3e17e066607e0d89d6e6bf886d7cbb1383410853c634a5aad2dce75336db0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Zandschulpof Shapovalov, Zandschulp
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,459
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,443
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,459 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x10ff…5088backed Shapovalov | 6c | 3,165$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.91 | 661 | 39.3%260 W · 401 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a73…e1adbacked Shapovalov | 30c | 330.85$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 158 | 26.6%42 W · 116 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8330…b3b1backed Zandschulp | 38c | 250$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 372 | 33.9%126 W · 246 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Zandschulp | 47c | 191.06$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.14 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Zandschulp | 52c | 186.12$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.61 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Shapovalov | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 229 | 53.3%122 W · 107 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4738…4687backed Zandschulp | 44c | 113.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.95 | 373 | 51.2%191 W · 182 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Zandschulp | 45c | 95.56$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.56 | 678 | 36%244 W · 434 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Shapovalov | 56c | 53.41$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.91 | 1,258 | 50%629 W · 629 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Shapovalov | 56c | 46.95$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.29 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Shapovalov | 62c | 37$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.08 | 347 | 44.4%154 W · 193 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Shapovalov | 61c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 619 | 53.3%330 W · 289 L | +18.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed Shapovalov | 62c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 269 | 41.3%111 W · 158 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3d…bbfabacked Shapovalov | 61c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc376…a8e7backed Shapovalov | 60c | 18.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 128 | 52.3%67 W · 61 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 1 Winner: Shapovalov vs Zandschulpthis page
- Denis Shapovalov vs. Botic van de Zandschulp: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Miami Open: Denis Shapovalov vs Botic van de ZandschulpBotic van de Zandschulp won
- Set Handicap: Shapovalov (-1.5) vs Zandschulp (+1.5)Zandschulp won
- Shapovalov vs. Zandschulp: Match O/U 21.5Under won
- Shapovalov vs. Zandschulp: Match O/U 22.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.