Tennis · resolved market
ITF Saskatoon: Alyssa Ahn vs Ana Grubor
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x280217c4466b9fdabe2ac083d3040e4f7e402ee5528864b11c293523b79beadf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Alyssa Ahnof Alyssa Ahn, Ana Grubor
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,081
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,545
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,081 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Alyssa Ahn | 63c | 20,702$12,942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,759.82 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Ana Grubor | 38c | 20,123$7,702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,702.25 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Ana Grubor | 50c | 849.04$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.13 | 359 | 32.6%117 W · 242 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4042…0bdabacked Alyssa Ahn | 42c | 571.43$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.43 | 982 | 40.1%394 W · 588 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Alyssa Ahn | 46c | 537.21$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.28 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Ana Grubor | 36c | 316.67$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6b…ec86backed Ana Grubor | 34c | 198.53$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 1,062 | 31.8%338 W · 724 L | -27.2wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Ana Grubor | 36c | 160.32$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.72 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe302…a986backed Ana Grubor | 73c | 140$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.2 | 198 | 41.9%83 W · 115 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Ana Grubor | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 960 | 49.5%475 W · 485 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd1…f311backed Alyssa Ahn | 57c | 114.04$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.04 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc11d…0123backed Ana Grubor | 34c | 110.06$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.42 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | -5.6wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Ana Grubor | 52c | 99.99$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.99 | 1,708 | 44.8%766 W · 942 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ca1…2f58backed Ana Grubor | 12c | 98.81$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda22…f431backed Alyssa Ahn | 55c | 97.71$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.18 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Alyssa Ahn | 54c | 92.96$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.76 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Alyssa Ahn | 30c | 81.34$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.94 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Alyssa Ahn | 54c | 79.63$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.63 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x583c…86c0backed Ana Grubor | 33c | 60.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 90 | 38.9%35 W · 55 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Ana Grubor | 24c | 56.39$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.53 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Ana Grubor | 51c | 50.45$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.81 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked Ana Grubor | 36c | 41.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,025 | 54%554 W · 471 L | +37.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Alyssa Ahn | 49c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b33…d653backed Alyssa Ahn | 58c | 37.67$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.75 | 234 | 42.7%100 W · 134 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d10…b3d0backed Alyssa Ahn | 62c | 35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 821 | 59.4%488 W · 333 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Alyssa Ahn | 48c | 33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.16 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1e…f992backed Ana Grubor | 36c | 30.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 654 | 34.9%228 W · 426 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd9…039bbacked Alyssa Ahn | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 1,008 | 38.3%386 W · 622 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb663…f135backed Alyssa Ahn | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 563 | 37.3%210 W · 353 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Ana Grubor | 50c | 26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.94 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Alyssa Ahn | 65c | 23.95$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.38 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3443…64e9backed Alyssa Ahn | 78c | 18.33$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.11 | 170 | 71.2%121 W · 49 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 74cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.